Senate races at Bodog

Mr.JR · #1 10-16-2006, 10:06 PM

Some bets I like. Feel free to add your own best bets.

Maryland: Benjamin Cardin (DEM) 1/4 - Current Polls show him in low 50's, high 40's, and Steele in low 40's.

Mississippi: Trent Lott (REP) 1/4 - No explaination needed here. Will easily win

Pennsylvania: Bob Casey Jr. (DEM) 7/4. Polls show Casey in low 50's, high 40's. No current poll shows Santorum with more than 42%.

silentbob · #2 10-16-2006, 10:18 PM

Wow, those are pretty good odds compared to what's available on Tradesports. I'd definitely jump on Casey winning at 4/7. Some polls show narrowing of his lead but like you said, there's a clear ceiling on Santorum's numbers.

I'd bet more on Casey than I did but don't want to tie up funds for 3 weeks.

pokergrader · #3 10-17-2006, 02:14 AM

I tied up all my money on Feinstein, Lott and Casey. This is just free money. Feinstein and Lott are both >99% to win, and Casey is at least an 80% favorite to win.

If I had more money to wager, I would bet max on every incumbent with an insurmountable lead.

dawade · #4 10-17-2006, 04:54 PM

Loaded up my entire Bodog roll on Feinstein and Lott.

jaym96822 · #5 10-17-2006, 02:19 AM

Thanks for posting about this. The incumbents with large leads should be much more than 1/9. For example, in the Hawaii race, the only way Akaka might lose is if he dies. Even then, he'd still be favored on the ballot. $50 return for tying up $450 for 3 weeks on every one of these safe incumbents.

Two sources of info if anyone cares:
http://cookpolitical.com/races/senate/default.php
http://www.nytimes.com/ref/washingto...et=senANALYSIS

pokergrader · #6 10-17-2006, 03:13 AM

http://www.electoral-vote.com has the latest polls.

TheRover · #7 10-17-2006, 03:21 AM

that trent lott line is still damn good. and lol at even bothering with a luger line.

if any other book has these please post it.

Ortho · #8 10-17-2006, 03:57 AM

What's the deal with Connecticut? NYT is showing Lieberman as an Independent.

TheRover · #9 10-17-2006, 04:21 AM

He's running as an independent because he lost the primary thanks to the far left democrats. The Rupublican candidate is a joke so he should get a lot of Republican and independant votes.

NajdorfDefense · #10 10-17-2006, 02:30 PM

Steele could surprise, Casey has a 9-pt lead but 'lost' the debate last night to Santorum, just looked like a rank amateur {I hate both candidates equally}. I would in no way lay 4-1 on Casey, that lead could be gone by Friday.