|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
Daliman\'s Nfl Wong Teasers-Week 2
YTD: -$147
Teased games: 4-1 (80%) 2 Team Teases: 3-4 (.429) -$105 4 team teases: 0-1 -$42 Current BR: $1953 Bet on mansion lines. I believe the Bears, Vikings, and Seattle games may move, so get on these fast, ( especially bears) Bears -8.5 Vikings +2 Packers +2 Seattle -7 ( home team, likely line move) If you are playing exact same at home, bet sizes are $97 and $39. Also, for future reference, I round down when there is remainder cents, and for 6 teams I will be betting 4% and 1.5%, 7 teams 3$ and 1% |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Daliman\'s Nfl Wong Teasers-Week 2
I know what you're trying to do here, Dali, but i hate including the Packers in this.
The Saints pass defense is going to have a field day with Favre. I have this game as 24-7, moving the line to 24-16 still is way away from a predicted cover. I love the Bears / Seattle play though. Just my $0.02. If you don't want this kind of feedback and just want to try the system, i'll shut up in the future... |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Daliman\'s Nfl Wong Teasers-Week 2
[ QUOTE ]
I know what you're trying to do here, Dali, but i hate including the Packers in this. The Saints pass defense is going to have a field day with Favre. I have this game as 24-7, moving the line to 24-16 still is way away from a predicted cover. I love the Bears / Seattle play though. Just my $0.02. If you don't want this kind of feedback and just want to try the system, i'll shut up in the future... [/ QUOTE ] Feedback is fine. I'm doing a very limited amount of capping in this, and this is not a case where I have a choice; it's a straight standard wong, and considered the most profitable one too; the home dog. My only capping will be getting off the 3 or 7. |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Daliman\'s Nfl Wong Teasers-Week 2
[ QUOTE ]
I know what you're trying to do here, Dali, but i hate including the Packers in this. The Saints pass defense is going to have a field day with Favre. I have this game as 24-7, moving the line to 24-16 still is way away from a predicted cover. I love the Bears / Seattle play though. Just my $0.02. If you don't want this kind of feedback and just want to try the system, i'll shut up in the future... [/ QUOTE ] Can you explain why seattle -7 is a good move? I'm still a sportsbetting noob. I was considering AZ +7 cause I don't think seattle's secondary defense can shut down Arizona's passing game. Seattle will win, but the +7 makes it tempting to go with AZ. thanks |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Daliman\'s Nfl Wong Teasers-Week 2
The whole system is to get the value of the 7 and 3 in point spread. Going from +7 to +13 has less value than going from -7 to -1. You got off the 7 can crossed back over the 3. On the plus 7 you only got off the 7.
-SFWUSC |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Daliman\'s Nfl Wong Teasers-Week 2
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I know what you're trying to do here, Dali, but i hate including the Packers in this. The Saints pass defense is going to have a field day with Favre. I have this game as 24-7, moving the line to 24-16 still is way away from a predicted cover. I love the Bears / Seattle play though. Just my $0.02. If you don't want this kind of feedback and just want to try the system, i'll shut up in the future... [/ QUOTE ] Can you explain why seattle -7 is a good move? I'm still a sportsbetting noob. I was considering AZ +7 cause I don't think seattle's secondary defense can shut down Arizona's passing game. Seattle will win, but the +7 makes it tempting to go with AZ. thanks [/ QUOTE ] Well, maybe I shouldn't have posted the regular lines, just the tased amounts. Teasing Seattle to only -1 is a good move if you are pretty sure they will win. If you are specifically asking an opinion the the line itself, this isn;t really the thread for that. Try starting another. I think from now on, I will post my picks as "teased to" amounts like I did in Week 1. Sorry for any confusion. |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Daliman\'s Nfl Wong Teasers-Week 2
Sorry, I understand now. thanks for explaining.
like i said, I'm a noob [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Daliman\'s Nfl Wong Teasers-Week 2
First, we're talking about teasers. You link two games, move the spread by six points in your favor in each. So if you tease Chicago and Seattle you end up with: Chicago -2.5 and Seattle -1 as the lines, with the tease paying Even Money (or -110 on Bodog).
The most important value in these teasers is to cross the 7 and the 3, which is the system Daliman is playing here (he's playing all teasers that cross both the 7 and 3, and he's possibly playing those that end on 3/7. I'm not commenting on Seattle -7 at this time, but I love Seattle -1 and I love Chicago -2.5, so I love the teaser. |
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Daliman\'s Nfl Wong Teasers-Week 2
is Bodog a better deal than Mansion for me?
I might just do one that I like the best for a few units. you get a 10% bonus. 1.1 at -1.1 Win you have 2.1 units with 2.2 unit WR (basicly 1x) Can you arb the Bodog win for 4 cents or less? Trying to get every cent I can [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]. -SFWUSC |
#10
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Daliman\'s Nfl Wong Teasers-Week 2
[ QUOTE ]
is Bodog a better deal than Mansion for me? I might just do one that I like the best for a few units. you get a 10% bonus. 1.1 at -1.1 Win you have 2.1 units with 2.2 unit WR (basicly 1x) Can you arb the Bodog win for 4 cents or less? Trying to get every cent I can [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]. -SFWUSC [/ QUOTE ] Bonus requires like 5x rollover, so no. For 3 or 4 teamers, they're fine though, IIRC. |
|
|