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#1
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100nl set, your thoughts?
UTG is normal taggish (probably slightly weaktight) multitabling regular on stars 100nl, hes most likely a winning player.
He most likely knows me and probably thinks of me in a similar way, if he has pt he would know my stats are 12vpip and 7pfr, im pretty sure he knows im capable of raising flop like this with a draw. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) MP1 ($101) MP2 ($45.95) Hero ($157.80) CO ($98.85) Button ($246.05) SB ($85.85) BB ($113.80) UTG ($92.40) UTG+1 ($44.05) Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $4</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero calls $4, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB calls $3.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>. Flop: ($13) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $3</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $13</font>, SB calls $13, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $30</font>, Hero ??? What would you do and why? |
#2
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Re: 100nl set, your thoughts?
Shove
Also I raise flop to 20 probably. |
#3
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Re: 100nl set, your thoughts?
He could easily make this play with an overpair or suited overcards. TT is the only hand ahead of you.
Insta-push. |
#4
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Re: 100nl set, your thoughts?
push !! what is SB doing ? obvious draw ..... get one or both to call
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#5
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Re: 100nl set, your thoughts?
The hero is only behind two hands (TT, 66). There are several more hands AA-JJ, AKs that could play this way. That range puts the Hero ahead 5 out of 7 possible hands. Enough of an edge for a push.
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#6
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Re: 100nl set, your thoughts?
I folded and UTG had TT. SB had flushdraw with a sc. The reason I folded was that I think UTG is too weaktight to rr over the overcall with anything other than TT/AA/KK/AKs. I know he raises 99+ utg, he's tag preflop but tends to be a bit weak tight postflop as is the trend at stars 100nl fullring.
This player is good enough to bet the flop properly with AA/KK though. He's not raising AKs here 17 more, he's either calling or pushing. I'm quite confident the only hand hes betting so weak then rr to 30 over a pretty tight raiser and a caller like this is TT. If SB folds then I'm pushing obv. I'm not in the habit of folding sets almost ever but this is just one of the few times I have in ages. This hand happened a while ago by the way, it just came up an a discussion I was having with a friend. |
#7
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Re: 100nl set, your thoughts?
Looks like an overpair. I would personally push. Some people might say trap, but there's enough money in the pot and you'd be satisfied to win it there right? If he does have an overpair, he might just call.
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#8
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Re: 100nl set, your thoughts?
I'm pushing. Looks like an overpair to me. Pot is big enough to push for me.
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#9
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Re: 100nl set, your thoughts?
I think stack sizes are too small to even consider folding your set here. Let's give him a set, overpair with a diamond, or AKd:
Board: 6c Td 4d Dead: equity (%) win (%) tie (%) Hand 1: 68.0929 % 68.09% 00.00% { 4c4s } Hand 2: 31.9071 % 31.91% 00.00% { QQ+, TT, 66, AdKd } Just push it. |
#10
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Re: 100nl set, your thoughts?
Push.
UTG is not your problem here; you fear no hand of his. You're absolutely losing your stack to TT, which if he's weaktight he would seldom raise UTG, he didn't raise UTG w/ 66, and you crush everything else. But SB overcalled after your flop raise, and could have who-knows-what, including a draw. There's 69BB in that pot already, no shame in taking it down right now, and you're not folding ever, so just price out the draws and push it in. |
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