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Special Thread For Chen-Ankenman Mathematics of Poker
I expect many comments and questions about that book. I'll reply here.
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#2
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Re: Special Thread For Chen-Ankenman Mathematics of Poker
I've never heard of it. Do you consider it worth reading?
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#3
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Re: Special Thread For Chen-Ankenman Mathematics of Poker
[ QUOTE ]
I've never heard of it. Do you consider it worth reading? [/ QUOTE ] how is this not self explanatory |
#4
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Re: Special Thread For Chen-Ankenman Mathematics of Poker
[ QUOTE ]
how is this not self explanatory [/ QUOTE ] This, or the thread itself? Sorry, couldn't resist. |
#5
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Re: Special Thread For Chen-Ankenman Mathematics of Poker
DS,
We have a book forum. |
#6
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Re: Special Thread For Chen-Ankenman Mathematics of Poker
[ QUOTE ]
DS, We have a book forum. [/ QUOTE ] I'm more likely to get involved here. |
#7
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Re: Special Thread For Chen-Ankenman Mathematics of Poker
[ QUOTE ]
DS, We have a book forum. [/ QUOTE ] We have a sticky at the top of this forum as well. |
#8
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Re: Special Thread For Chen-Ankenman Mathematics of Poker
Mr. Sklansky, I haven't heard of the book, but I do have a question about the mathmatics. I was playing online last night in a cash game at Full Tilt. It was a micro limit. I was dealt three consecutive hands of pocket two's, and on all three consecutive hands I FLOPPED a set. I know many of the readers of this will not believe me but if you would like I do have the room and time down that this occurred. Again these were consecutive hands. I was curious about the probablity of this happening. I did not have the formula or the software to run it, but WE (office) came up with approx. 1 in 8,000,000,000,000,000.
Any thoughts would be greatly appreciated. PS thanks for all your great books, they have helped me greatly. Jeff Mc. |
#9
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Re: Special Thread For Chen-Ankenman Mathematics of Poker
[ QUOTE ]
Mr. Sklansky, I haven't heard of the book, but I do have a question about the mathmatics. I was playing online last night in a cash game at Full Tilt. It was a micro limit. I was dealt three consecutive hands of pocket two's, and on all three consecutive hands I FLOPPED a set. I know many of the readers of this will not believe me but if you would like I do have the room and time down that this occurred. Again these were consecutive hands. I was curious about the probablity of this happening. I did not have the formula or the software to run it, but WE (office) came up with approx. 1 in 8,000,000,000,000,000. Any thoughts would be greatly appreciated. PS thanks for all your great books, they have helped me greatly. Jeff Mc. [/ QUOTE ] A flopped set 3 times in a row would be (3/51)^3*(1/8.5)^3, or about 3 million to one. A flopped set of the same rank three times would be (3/51)^3*(4/52)^2*(1/8.5)^3, or about 500 million to one. A flopped set of deuces three times would be (4/52)^3*(4/52)^3*(1/8.5)^3, or about 6.6 billion to one. You were only off about 7 orders of magnitude. That's not so much, in the grand scheme of things. |
#10
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Re: Special Thread For Chen-Ankenman Mathematics of Poker
If you are in fact a reliable witness, then the probability is very close to certainty, although very unlikely to occur again. The probability of some other hand sequence amazing you is quite high though.
D. |
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