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#1
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10NL Three straight steals, then AQ vs all-in
I've won the last three hands raising preflop.
I'm running 21/16/4, but anyone with PT probably has me more like 19/10/3.8. Villain is 23/2/1.3 Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $.10 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver Cards) saw flop|[color=#C00000]saw showdown</font> Button ($12.03) SB ($2.90) BB ($5) UTG ($1.93) UTG+1 ($16.45) MP1 ($26.50) MP2 ($4.85) Hero ($10.19) Preflop: Hero is CO with , . [color=#666666]4 folds</font>, [color=#CC3333]Hero raises to $0.35</font>, Button goes all-in for $5, [color=#666666]2 folds</font>, Hero ????? |
#2
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Re: Three straight steals, then AQ vs all-in
Fold. Whats your sample size on villian?
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#3
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Re: Three straight steals, then AQ vs all-in
This is a very easy fold.
Nobody is actually going to shove with less than AQ just because you raised several times in a row. He's shoving hoping that you look him up light b/c you think he thinks you're stealing and is on a re-steal. His PFR is 2 |
#4
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Re: Three straight steals, then AQ vs all-in
Fold 100% of the time. No point in gambling here with AQ. There are much better spots to get your money all-in with. At this level ignore the small edges that may be there every once in a while. Money saved in medicore situations is as good as money earned. Villain will give you money far more often when you have a much bigger edge.
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#5
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Re: Three straight steals, then AQ vs all-in
fold but not for the above reason by san. Small edges are still edges to take if they are in your favor, you just will have to take variance. Fold for the reason that when someone with a 2% raise percentage goes all in, they are NOT doing it with trash. NITS get fed up with people that are loose but when they raise it still means that they have the goods.
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#6
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Re: Three straight steals, then AQ vs all-in
Reread what I said. I said small edges that are only there every once in a while. In other words his hand is rarely good here and when it is good it is only a small edge. At 10NL there is no point to gamble with this tight of a player who most often has him beat. It is sometimes a small edge he will have but not enough to make it worthwhile. I apologize if I didn't word it well enough originally but we are essentially saying the same thing.
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#7
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Re: Three straight steals, then AQ vs all-in
Quick Pokerstove - I even added hands to villains likely range to give him a little tilt factor. He's still not pushing with junk though. This is still a clear fold.
equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 38.099% 31.30% 06.80% 36975031 8039028.50 { AhQd } Hand 1: 61.901% 55.10% 06.80% 65095888 8039028.50 { 66+, AQs+, AQo+ } |
#8
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Re: Three straight steals, then AQ vs all-in
You have AQ easy push.
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