Big stacked with 99 against isolator

Offspring6767 · #1 08-13-2007, 12:31 AM

No reads, hadn't seen this player get out of line at all.

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t300/t600
(Ante: t50)
9 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (9 players) Incredible Hulk is Button with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
2 folds, MP1 calls t600 (pot was t1350), 2 folds, CO raises to t3000, Incredible Hulk raises to t14000, 3 folds, CO calls all-in t9006.
Uncalled bets: t1994 returned to Incredible Hulk.

Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (t25962, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: t25962)

Turn: Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (t25962, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: t25962)

River: 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (t25962, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: t25962)

Results in white:

Final pot: t25962

Villain has 99

Offspring6767 · #2 08-13-2007, 01:03 AM

Bump...can some1 at least look at this?

udbrky · #3 08-13-2007, 02:03 AM

What's your chip stack? He has ~20 BB. Not a bad move. He could be raising wide, but folding most of those hands. If it won't hurt you to lose the chips, take a flip with decent fold equity.

You're 40% against 77+, AJ+. I think you'll take this pot down uncontested a fair amount of time to make up for the 8% equity you're laying in the pot against his range. I'm a little surprised he called with 99.

If his range is 77+, AJs+, he would have to fold 25% of the time for this to be break-even. So, calling with JJ+,AQs+,AKo?

Math:
(win 13k 40% when called (22.4%), lose 12k 60% when called (33.6%), win 4500 44% when not called = +2912 - 4012 + 1120 == 0).

If you put him on a tighter range, then it's an easy fold, since he's not folding much of hwat he's raising with.

BarryLyndon · #4 08-13-2007, 10:58 AM

I think the play is fine as long as you think he's the kind of player who isoraises with A10+; 77+. You may get a fold out of 1010 here, AJ, AQ, A10. That 99 called is pretty laughable, but you probably milked more information out of him than he out of you + you're going to get a lot of respect from LP raisors now.

Barry

black666 · #5 08-13-2007, 11:42 AM

[ QUOTE ]
That 99 called is pretty laughable

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't know about that. Villain is getting 1.88:1 on the call so he needs to be only 34% favorite to break even. If he puts hero on a range of TT+,AQs+,AQo+ he has 37% equity and even make a profit. With a hero's range of JJ+,AKs,AKo it becomes slightly -EV for villain to call.

Against a random unknown player, I would call with 99. With a read, I fold.

Pokerfarian · #6 08-13-2007, 02:09 PM

Both players played this fine. Pushing with a hand as good as 99 with some FE is the correct play and the opp had the right equity + odds to call. {fwiw, 99 is 46% against 77+,AJ+, not 40%}