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#1
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50NL: How much to raise?
Villain is 35/0/1 over 132 hands.
I've been running 13/9/5 at the table so far $0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem 8 players Converted at weaktight.com Stacks: UTG (<font color="#0000cc">$34.55</font>) UTG+1 (<font color="#0000cc">$89.45</font>) MP1 (<font color="#0000cc">$50.00</font>) MP2 (<font color="#0000cc">$50.40</font>) CO (<font color="#0000cc">$19.25</font>) Hero (<font color="#0000cc">$85.15</font>) SB (<font color="#0000cc">$49.50</font>) BB (<font color="#0000cc">$79.40</font>) Pre-flop: ($0.75, 8 players) Hero is BTN 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#777777">5 folds</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $1.75</font>, SB calls $1.5, BB calls $1.25 Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($5.25, 3 players) SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $3</font>, <font color="#777777">SB folds</font>, BB calls $3 The flop seems pretty innocent, so I take a poke at it. When I get called, I figure BB probably has a weak queen or something. He seems like the calling type, so I'm probably not going to fire the turn. Turn: 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($11.25, 2 players) BB checks, Hero checks I pick up an open-ended straight draw. I contemplate betting, but decide against it for reasons mentioned. Plus, if I hit an ace and villain called the flop with overs, I could make some nice money. River: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($11.25, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">BB bets $11.25</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to...? </font> There's no way he can put me on a straight here and he's suddenly betting out! Min-raise? 30? Shove? I think I suck in spots like this... |
#2
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Re: 50NL: How much to raise?
[ QUOTE ]
Villain is 35/0/1 over 132 hands. [/ QUOTE ] a PSB on the river at 50NL is rarely ever a bluff, and the opponent has a AF of 1. He clearly likes his hand, and I think he's calling whether the raise is to 30 or AI. So i shove. |
#3
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Re: 50NL: How much to raise?
All of it.
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#4
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Re: 50NL: How much to raise?
shove
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#5
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Re: 50NL: How much to raise?
I opted to raise to 30 here, and villain folded. My thinking here was twofold.
1) If villain has AQ, he's shoving over my river bet and all the monies are going in. 2) If villain was floating me with two overs (say AJ or maybe even AK), then my flop lead/turn check, river shove would look a lot like AQ and he might get away since there are still 150BB left, but he may think I'm bluffing enough (or am on a worse A) to call getting 2-1. Again, I feel like I'm sucking in these spots... |
#6
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Re: 50NL: How much to raise?
shove
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#7
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Re: 50NL: How much to raise?
I like your raise..
The pot would have $11.25 X 3 if U call = $33.75 By re-raising +30 you give them a chance to push back But at that level of game, I have seen many an insta call as well...with aces and the like when they hit the river ace, They are hoping for the card and it comes... they never see the wheel... So either is ok... My 2c, The_Bowler |
#8
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Re: 50NL: How much to raise?
Assume a split pot and just call? lol
I think I would have raised to around 30-35 myself (min raises suck) but I can definitely see the merits of shoving. Still, even a calling station will start to think seriously about how many of his chips he's putting on the line if you shove. Could we assume that a player like this will fold 50% of the time to a shove that puts all of his deep stack on the line (I think he'll only call if he has a AQ or a set) but he will almost always call a decent sized raise for around half of his stack. If that's the case, either move generates roughly the same profit, doesn't it? |
#9
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Re: 50NL: How much to raise?
Me likes your raise, can't really see him call a shove here because I don't agree that a PSB on the river allways have to be a very good hand.
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