can I fold here with AA on the flop?

bsball8806 · #1 11-29-2007, 10:04 PM

Don't know why the hand history isn't converting, but w/e.

Reads: Villain over about 40 hands appears to be a solid TAG.

5 handed, .05/.1 blinds, I have $11.30, Villain covers.

I raise UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] to $0.40.
BTN calls, Villain calls from the SB

Pot is $1.30
Flop is 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 10[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Villain leads out for $1.30, I reraise to $5.50, he shoves.

Can I find a fold?

Fulzgold · #2 11-29-2007, 10:09 PM

you're definitely behind here. yes you can fold.

also, if you are ahead, your equity isnt that strong.

Paul Thomson · #3 11-29-2007, 10:10 PM

[ QUOTE ]
you're definitely behind here. yes you can fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

we're ahead of KQ, TJ, and 87

Fulzgold · #4 11-29-2007, 10:34 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you're definitely behind here. yes you can fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

we're ahead of KQ, TJ, and 87

[/ QUOTE ]

villian appears to be a solid TAG. Easy fold.

Paul Thomson · #5 11-29-2007, 10:36 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you're definitely behind here. yes you can fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

we're ahead of KQ, TJ, and 87

[/ QUOTE ]

villian appears to be a solid TAG. Easy fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

give me a range for villain?

Fulzgold · #6 11-30-2007, 03:20 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you're definitely behind here. yes you can fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

villian appears to be a solid TAG. Easy fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

give me a range for villain?

[/ QUOTE ]
we're ahead of KQ, TJ, and 87

[/ QUOTE ]
two pair or better. pair and a gutshot 3 bet shoves flop? gimme a break. KQ does this to extreme heat? no f'n way.
99, 10 10, 9 10s, QJs all we beat here is a random bluff. good fold.

Paul Thomson · #7 11-29-2007, 10:09 PM

no

mickb70 · #8 11-29-2007, 10:11 PM

I can't find a call.

Paul Thomson · #9 11-29-2007, 10:17 PM

we only need to be good here 25% of the time to call.

mickb70 · #10 11-29-2007, 10:30 PM

[ QUOTE ]
we only need to be good here 25% of the time to call.

[/ QUOTE ]

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 23.671% 23.50% 00.17% 6514 47.50 { AcAs }
Hand 1: 76.329% 76.16% 00.17% 21111 47.50 { TT-99, AKs, QJs, AKo, QJo }

Salient point and i make it 5.4 more into 22.7 pot so need 23.78 which seems to make this close. I've already folded but I was prob wrong on closer inspection.