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Good way to maximize emotional EV
Sometimes when I'm leaving a casino, if I'm stuck for the day after a long session, I take what I'm stuck and put it on one hand of blackjack.
I figure it's a pretty close to neutral EV bet, and when I'm stuck 2k I sort of feel the same crappy feeling as when I'm stuck 4k. But if I'm even instead of stuck 2k, I'm much much much happier. So I sacrifice a tiny bit of actual EV and gain a ton of emotional EV. I happen to be 0/4 on these bets and down almost 10k but I'm pretty sure it's a winning strategy. Discuss. |
#2
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Re: Good way to maximize emotional EV
well if doubling your loss is disproportionally negative emotional EV then in theory theres something to even discuss. I would actually feel much closer to twice as bad though...so I can't relate.
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#3
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Re: Good way to maximize emotional EV
[ QUOTE ]
Sometimes when I'm leaving a casino, if I'm stuck for the day after a long session, I take what I'm stuck and put it on one hand of blackjack. I figure it's a pretty close to neutral EV bet, and when I'm stuck 2k I sort of feel the same crappy feeling as when I'm stuck 4k. But if I'm even instead of stuck 2k, I'm much much much happier. So I sacrifice a tiny bit of actual EV and gain a ton of emotional EV. I happen to be 0/4 on these bets and down almost 10k but I'm pretty sure it's a winning strategy. Discuss. [/ QUOTE ] so bet 4k when you lose the first one, obv |
#4
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Re: Good way to maximize emotional EV
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Sometimes when I'm leaving a casino, if I'm stuck for the day after a long session, I take what I'm stuck and put it on one hand of blackjack. I figure it's a pretty close to neutral EV bet, and when I'm stuck 2k I sort of feel the same crappy feeling as when I'm stuck 4k. But if I'm even instead of stuck 2k, I'm much much much happier. So I sacrifice a tiny bit of actual EV and gain a ton of emotional EV. I happen to be 0/4 on these bets and down almost 10k but I'm pretty sure it's a winning strategy. Discuss. [/ QUOTE ] so bet 4k when you lose the first one, obv [/ QUOTE ] I think we may be on to something here. |
#5
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Re: Good way to maximize emotional EV
And if you're doing BJ, you really need to plan to be able to split and double down. So $2K ain't enough. Don't wager $2K at BJ if you don't have another $2K ready to plop down beside it.
Pass line. Or maybe Bacarrat. Or better just announce to the poker room "$2K flipaments, anyone?" Keep the money in the poker room and avoid the 1% to 2% house edge. |
#6
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Re: Good way to maximize emotional EV
I used to do this all the time but I finally forced myself to quit, despite running very well in my attempts.
Think about it logically. Why would anyone in their right mind bet 2k every few days on a losing game? You lose ~$50 every time you do this depending on the casino's rules. If that price is worth the thrill and the emotional +EV to you, then so be it, but it's probably only a matter of time before you are in a really bad state of mind and try to go double or nothing after losing your first BJ bet. It's a downward slope. |
#7
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Re: Good way to maximize emotional EV
[ QUOTE ]
I used to do this all the time but I finally forced myself to quit, despite running very well in my attempts. Think about it logically. Why would anyone in their right mind bet 2k every few days on a losing game? You lose ~$50 every time you do this depending on the casino's rules. If that price is worth the thrill and the emotional +EV to you, then so be it, but it's probably only a matter of time before you are in a really bad state of mind and try to go double or nothing after losing your first BJ bet. It's a downward slope. [/ QUOTE ] Good Lord, you'd have to be an awful blackjack player to expect to lose 2.5% of your wager. However, I agree this is a terrible approach to attempt to recoup a loss from a poker session--for many reasons. |
#8
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Re: Good way to maximize emotional EV
go to roulette and bet red or black
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#9
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Re: Good way to maximize emotional EV
[ QUOTE ]
I used to do this all the time but I finally forced myself to quit, despite running very well in my attempts. Think about it logically. Why would anyone in their right mind bet 2k every few days on a losing game? You lose ~$50 every time you do this depending on the casino's rules. If that price is worth the thrill and the emotional +EV to you, then so be it, but it's probably only a matter of time before you are in a really bad state of mind and try to go double or nothing after losing your first BJ bet. It's a downward slope. [/ QUOTE ] As long as she has ANY clue about BJ, and doesn't play those retarded 6-5 games, about the bigggest edge against her will only be 1%, but most likely, .5%, so basically, she's tossing away a sawbuck or two each time. |
#10
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Re: Good way to maximize emotional EV
[ QUOTE ]
As long as she has ANY clue about BJ, and doesn't play those retarded 6-5 games, about the bigggest edge against her will only be 1%, but most likely, .5%, so basically, she's tossing away a sawbuck or two each time. [/ QUOTE ] What're the odds in BJ if you're doing an all-or-nothing single bet? So you aren't going to be able to split or double down? I imagine you're giving up two or three percent. Bacarrat may be the best even-money all-or-nothing bet with a 1% house edge. Pass line without odds is 1.4%. Both are WAY better than red/black/even/odd. |
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