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#1
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24+2 - K9o steal goes wrong
$24+2, 26 left
Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 1,000/2,000 Blinds, 250 Ante, 7 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter UTG: 75,795 UTG+1: 27,533 Hero (MP): 35,052 CO: 9,552 BTN: 21,376 SB: 17,378 BB: 112,862 Pre-Flop: (4,750) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP) 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to 5,000</font>, 2 folds, <font color="red">SB raises to 17,128 and is All-In</font>, BB folds, Hero calls 12,128 been stealing pretty ok. villian is not likely to be restealing in this instance, but his hand range ??? like it/hate it? Any thoughts? |
#2
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Re: 24+2 - K9o steal goes wrong
I don´t like the steal with K9o from MP. KTs+ would be my least stealing hand from this position.
If you actually decide to make a steal here you should take the stacks into account. Either make it 4300 and fold to any push (except from CO) or make it 6k and call a push from CO / SB, but fold to a resteal from BU / BB. As played here you slightly get the correct odds if I´m not wrong. Against a range of 55+, A6s+, KTs+, QJs, A9o+, KJo+ you´re a 32%-dog while getting odds of 2.2:1. If you´re keen on maximizing your chips quickly you can call this. If you´re comfortable with your stealing-position I might fold it and wait for better spots (because you´re crippled if you call and lose). Hand 0: 67.689% 66.84% 00.85% { 55+, A6s+, KTs+, QJs, A9o+, KJo+ } Hand 1: 32.311% 31.46% 00.85% { K9o } |
#3
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Re: 24+2 - K9o steal goes wrong
You're getting around 2.1:1 odds. His range would pretty much have to be tighter than: 55+,ATs+,KJs+,ATo+,KJo+, for this to be a losing call.
Against a range of 55+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,A9o+,KTo+,QT, which may still be too tight given your own image, you're 1.85:1. But agreed, a loss is substantial. |
#4
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Re: 24+2 - K9o steal goes wrong
I would not expect Villains range to be too wide here. Certainly, OP has a "stealer"-image, according to his post, but remember that Villain doesn´t really have a reasteal stack any more - so he shouldn´t be stealing with QT ...
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#5
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Re: 24+2 - K9o steal goes wrong
You're right, I know my range wouldn't be this wide here. So I assume we're talking about a fold here? Losing is so bad in this spot, and our equity against a reasonable range is break even at best.
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