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#1
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Checkcalling with a set again
Never played with this opponent before. SN is promotion. He seems quite tight and a little less aggressive than most players at this level. Definetly a winner/pro. Effective stacks 10k.
Prima Poker skin No Limit Holdem Ring game Blinds: $25/$50 5 players Converter Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $150</font>, BB calls. Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($325, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $300</font>, BB calls. Turn: 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($925, 2 players) Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">BB bets $700</font>, Hero calls. River: Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($2325, 2 players) Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">BB bets $1850</font>, Hero calls. |
#2
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Re: Checkcalling with a set again
wow... this is like ridic bad... what are stacks?!?! why cant he have any 2 pair, any lower set, anythingggggggg i dont get it wtf.
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#3
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Re: Checkcalling with a set again
raise the river... you lose to A3... 36 and 67. You can pretty much eliminate 36, he probably would have raised 67 on the flop... just im confused.... RAISE
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#4
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Re: Checkcalling with a set again
I dont think we can just start eliminating hands. We know nothing of the players history except hes weak-tight yet a winning pro. With that I count 45 hand that you can beat (two pairs and sets) and 48 hands you cant (straights).
That makes your check-raise about even money...which isnt great. But even if we can eliminate 63, youre still only a ~9-7 favorite to have the best hand. Thats bad. |
#5
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Re: Checkcalling with a set again
i don't think it's been mentioned that 64 was double gutted on the flop
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#6
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Re: Checkcalling with a set again
I dont think its bad. I think lose value only to 4-4 and 5-4 and those make up a small range, imo.
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#7
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Re: Checkcalling with a set again
[ QUOTE ]
wow... this is like ridic bad... what are stacks?!?! why cant he have any 2 pair, any lower set, anythingggggggg i dont get it wtf. [/ QUOTE ] effective stacks are 10k, fixed in OP. i think I'm losing more than half the time I'm called if i raise river. The only very two pair hands he's likely to have here at 54 or q8. With such deep stacks and a pretty drawy flop I think he definitely raises flop with 85 and also with sets. So the hands I think he is likely to have and can think about calling a big river cr with are q8 (3 combinations) 54 (9 combinations) 44 (3 combinations) a total of 15 that I beat or a3 for the wheel (16 combinations) 67 for the nuts (16 combinations) for 32 that beat me. Obv this is approximate and its possible for him to have other two pairs etc, but it looks to me like I'm losing >50% of the time I'm called. |
#8
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Re: Checkcalling with a set again
i dont see how you only think he can have A3, 67, or 44 or 45 here...
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#9
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Re: Checkcalling with a set again
[ QUOTE ]
i dont see how you only think he can have A3, 67, or 44 or 45 here... [/ QUOTE ] what else do you think he could have? sometimes he won't raise the flop with trips or 2pair I guess, but my read was that he would raise a big hand on the flop almost every time against me. So what else is he calling a c/r with? |
#10
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Re: Checkcalling with a set again
So you're excluding sets and two pairs due to coldcall on flop, but you keep 67 in his range?
I cant see him holding straights all that often here, and he'll prob pay you off decently. |
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