AK on the river - Pushed AI by loosey villain

n4rf · #1 10-24-2007, 04:09 PM

Relatively new to table, only played about 15 hands.

Things I noticed about villain:
-Loves to limp/call with awful hands, especially if they're suited.
-Stacked someone off when he limped/called a raise. Stacked someone with 5/2s vs A/Q on a Q22 board.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($51.85)
MP ($24.65)
CO ($25.05)
Button ($37.80)
Hero ($26.10)
BB ($23.80)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
3 folds, Button calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.1, 1 fold, Button calls $0.75.

Flop: ($2.35) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $2, Button calls $2.

Turn: ($6.35) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $3, Button calls $3.

River: ($12.35) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $8, Button raises to $31.8 (All-In), Hero?

Ideas? I know I had him beat on the flop unless he decided to slowplay a set, and I can't imagine runner runner 6's beating me here. However, I don't think it's a bluff here, since there's no reason for him to bluff since I've shown strength throughout this hand.

Genesis · #2 10-24-2007, 04:13 PM

I fold the river, you've represented a K the whole way. Why the small turn bet?

n4rf · #3 10-24-2007, 04:16 PM

Yeah I just realized that now. I guess I was playing a little "scared" against this opponent. It was a bad play because if he was drawing to a flush maybe a bigger bet could have gotten him off his hand. However, I believe that this opponent would not have thrown away his flush draw unless it was an overbet... he is a pretty big calling station.

Lego05 · #4 10-24-2007, 04:19 PM

Turn bet should be bigger.

I would call the river. It's hard to put him on a hand here. I find it hard to believe you're not good 23% of the time here.

TTStrangler · #5 10-24-2007, 04:20 PM

Villain seems passive from your desc. You've shown strength the entire hand and Villain pushes anyway. I'd say he has you beat. You are getting better than 2.5-1 though for your $ but I don't think you are good often enough here against this guy with the line you took.

I'm not totally sure about this. Are these odds enough?

Lego05 · #6 10-24-2007, 04:21 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Villain seems passive from your desc. You've shown strength the entire hand and Villain pushes anyway. I'd say he has you beat. You are getting better than 2.5-1 though for your $ but I don't think you are good often enough here against this guy with the line you took.

I'm not totally sure about this. Are these odds enough?

[/ QUOTE ]

He's gettin ~3.3 to 1. Not all of villian's river shove plays since he has like $11 more than hero.

TTStrangler · #7 10-24-2007, 04:22 PM

Ya, I guess that turn bet was a little weak. Bigger turn and equal % of pot bet on river and the decision to call gets pretty easy.

TTStrangler · #8 10-24-2007, 04:33 PM

ok my math was wayyyy off here, and may still be. Anyway, after calc again I get Hero needs to call 12 to win 52.35. Is this right? In that case wouldn't his odds be ~4.3-1.

Micro Donk · #9 10-24-2007, 04:36 PM

[ QUOTE ]
ok my math was wayyyy off here, and may still be. Anyway, after calc again I get Hero needs to call 12 to win 52.35. Is this right? In that case wouldn't his odds be ~4.3-1.

[/ QUOTE ]

hes not going to get his whole stack when he calls, you have to figure what the actual pot will be when he calls. after the 8, theyll both put in ~12 more if he calls...

TTStrangler · #10 10-24-2007, 04:41 PM

Sorry to beat a dead horse here, just trying to understand the math. Just correct my math where I am going wrong. Here's what I was calc to get 52.35

$12.35 + 8 Hero's bet + 8 Villains call + 12 Villains raise + 12 Hero's call = 52.35