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#1
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100nl- tripple barrel ok?
Villain is 24/11/3.7 over 700 datamined hands. He had about 60 remaining on the river.
Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter) SB: $99.00 BB: $113.80 UTG: $30.65 Hero (CO): $146.55 BTN: $96.00 Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5 Players) UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4.00</font>, BTN calls $4.00, 2 folds Flop: ($9.50) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $7.00</font>, BTN calls $7.00 Turn: ($23.50) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $18.00</font>, BTN calls $18.00 River: ($59.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets all-in for $117.55</font> |
#2
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Re: 100nl- tripple barrel ok?
As you can see from my other posts I am pretty bad at recognizing good spots to triple barrel. I don't think this is a good spot though.
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#3
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Re: 100nl- tripple barrel ok?
Good, he will fold Ac9c and 7c8c
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#4
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Re: 100nl- tripple barrel ok?
If we narrow villains preflop range to pps & scs here most of the time I don't think it's a nice spot to tripple barrel. I expect rnd TAG Villain to raise the flop with his draws (pair+fd or gs+fd is e.g. very likely on this flop) + sets.
The hands which usually call us on the flop are e.g. pure float attempts, or hands like JT/T9, maybe QT/T8 once in a while. The 2nd barrel is great imo, he'll fold most tens + float attempts usually. Calling AGAIN seems like a weird line for villain. Hands like JT or sets would raise us, draws should fold etc. ... Vs a TAG w/o history I'd c/f the river. The range I put him on is a) a slowplayed 22/66/JT, or b) a hand which he originally floated with and catched a J on the turn, like e.g. QJ or AJ. The only hands we fold out are tens that had us on a dblbarrel somehow and tried to get to the showdown cheaply or draws (which he both won't call on flop+river often). |
#5
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Re: 100nl- tripple barrel ok?
I couldn't see this guy possibly holding anything that could stand a river push. I figured just about everything that would call here would raise the turn.
I also figure once the river came, he'd check behind almost always, and showup with 1 pair, so when I combined both of these thoughts a shove was almost instinctive. If you dislike the 3rd barrel, what do you think is in villain's range that will call a pot sized bet on the river? rEvo, you say that a floated J may be a large part of his range...do you think QJ calls the river bet? My thoughts were that QJ would fold. |
#6
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Re: 100nl- tripple barrel ok?
Hmmm... The main reason why I dislike it is cause a really weird line from a regular rings of warning bells in my head. Cause a) he decided to be tricky with a strong hand (oh noes!) or b) he did something leaky which we should exploit. Vs an "unknown reg", like one I only have mined hands of I tend to more weakish play w/o any kind of history.
We have absolutely NO idea what's going on in his brain, e.g. if he's capable of folding a Jack here. I LOVE this line vs a usually solid, well-playing regular who knows I'm solid as well. Then I'd say he has like 80% of the time a J here which he'll fold to a push. And yes, I've seen many random-22/11-"TAG"s show up at SDs like this with like KJ or AJ (or KK (wtf?!)) ... From experience I'd say that at LEAST around 20-30% of the average NL200 regs cant fold a jack here. |
#7
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Re: 100nl- tripple barrel ok?
nh.
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#8
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Re: 100nl- tripple barrel ok?
looks fine to me
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#9
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Re: 100nl- tripple barrel ok?
[ QUOTE ]
Kilillan theorem, a good player can`t call 3 barrels with one pair. [/ QUOTE ] I suck. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] |
#10
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Re: 100nl- tripple barrel ok?
3rd barrel is lighting money on fire. He has to fold here sooooooo much to make this profitable and he doesnt.
Honestly the key to 100nl is not trying to overaggro pots and force folds which works alot at 400nl and to a certain extent 200nl. But just make good calls and thin vb's. |
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