$11 Sunday 100K on the bubble

[Mark_K]

This is today's 100K...

It's about 5 min's until the first bubble breaks. (Pays $17.69) I can easily fold into the money.


I would rate UTG as an average player, average level of aggressiveness.

How should I play this?

Poker Stars, $10 + $1 NL Hold'em Tournament, 500/1,000 Blinds, 9 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

BB: 9,400
UTG: 14,273
UTG+1: 9,332
Hero (UTG+2): 12,550
MP1: 14,930
MP2: 16,230
CO: 6,515
BTN: 17,630
SB: 17,290

Pre-Flop: (2,400) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG+2)
<font color="red">UTG raises to 4,000</font>, UTG+1 folds, <font color="red">Hero ?</font>

[MVPaul]

Push? Woudn't AA or KK raise a bit less?

[r987r]

any play but pushing or calling then calling any bet on any flop is horrible

[Pokerfarian]

Screw folding into the money. Folding into the money is atrogeus. Folding QQ is awful. Folding passively before the bubble is crap. Being scared to bubble in MTTs is horrid. /rant. Shove.

[Mark_K]

OK here are some more thoughts...

Since UTG is raising, I have to believe this is a premimum hand (JJ+, AQ+). I don't believe they have AA because they'll raise less hoping to get more than just the blinds.
And QQ isn't likely because I have two...

So that leaves AQ, AK, KK and JJ... I dominate AQ and JJ, the AK's are a flip, and UTG dominates me with KK

My "real" options are Push and Call.

If I push, more than half the time I am flipping or being dominated.

If I call, I can play a flop in position... (and hope it doesn't come down AKJ - LOL)

[donquay]

calling's not an option either...you really think calling 1/3 of your chips and folding to a less than favourable flop is a good option?

you're short and it's an ridiculously easy push...this is the hundred grand...the average player in this tourney doesn't have a sense of position so his range for raising utg is the same as LP.

From the sounds of it you're trying to convince us that you should find a fold here because you lost a race or something...but no you can't, shove it all day.

[illini43]

[ QUOTE ]
OK here are some more thoughts...

Since UTG is raising, I have to believe this is a premimum hand (JJ+, AQ+). I don't believe they have AA because they'll raise less hoping to get more than just the blinds.
And QQ isn't likely because I have two...

So that leaves AQ, AK, KK and JJ... I dominate AQ and JJ, the AK's are a flip, and UTG dominates me with KK

My "real" options are Push and Call.

If I push, more than half the time I am flipping or being dominated.

If I call, I can play a flop in position... (and hope it doesn't come down AKJ - LOL)

[/ QUOTE ]

UTG's raising range ON THE BUBBLE in a $11 tournament is MUCH wider than JJ+/AK. If it's close to the bubble and I have anything remotely close to a decent stack I'm raising a huge range stealing blinds from people like you [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

QQ is an absolute monster here - if you don't push, you are not maximizing your EV.


If cashing in a $10 for a $7 profit is a big deal to you - I would not play $10 tournaments.