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#1
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GoldenBears Week 1 NCAA picks
Iowa State -3.5 vs Kent State, 5 units
Virginia -4 @ Wyoming, 5 units Arizona +5.5 @ BYU, 5 units Tulsa @ UL-Monroe, moneyline -146, 5 units Akron -4.5 vs Army, 5 units Iowa -10.5 @ Northern Illinois, 2 units Iowa @ Northern Illinois, moneyline -500, 7 units UNLV -7 @ Utah State, 2 units Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame, moneyline +130, 2.5 units Total: 38.5 units Save the other 60 units for game-day arbitrage. |
#2
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Re: GoldenBears Week 1 NCAA picks
Total for week 1: 5-3-1
@ -104, -0.20 units I played Cal for 5 units on the moneyline too, but I got that bet late and didn't post it here, so I won't count it. Plays in so far for Week 2: Temple -3 vs Buffalo 5 units Oregon State -3 @ Cincinnati 5 units New Mexico State + 7.5 @ UNM 5 units |
#3
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Re: GoldenBears Week 1 NCAA picks
Final Week 2 Card:
Temple -3 vs Buffalo 5 units Oregon State -3 @ Cincinnati 5 units New Mexico State + 7.5 @ UNM 5 units Georgia -4.5 vs South Carolina 5 units UCLA -7 vs BYU 5 units Missouri -6 @ Ole Miss 5 units Washington +3 vs Boise St. 3 units Total: 33 units |
#4
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Re: GoldenBears Week 1 NCAA picks
Correction, Washington is 5 units as well - 7 plays at 5 units a play.
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#5
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Re: GoldenBears Week 1 NCAA picks
You are betting too many units per game. Very high risk of ruin, even if you are a proven winning capper.
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#6
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Re: GoldenBears Week 1 NCAA picks
That is true, but not significant. That would be significant if my bankroll (10k) was a significant portion of my total investments, but its' not.
This is my 'high +EV / high risk' area of investment, so I'm willing to tolerate a 'very high risk of ruin.' (Which, to be honest is not literally 'very high' it's just high enough to be tangible.) But yeah, rest assured, this is actually not the investment that I'm most excited about, I'll post more after the season. |
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