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#1
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NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
Villain is 24/8. I figured after my turn call, his bet on the river is value for sure. Now the question is, can I beat his V-Bet range?
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (9 handed) Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Hero ($105.15) CO ($98.50) Button ($100.90) SB ($97.75) BB ($36.45) UTG ($30) UTG+1 ($61) MP1 ($124.40) MP2 ($128.30) Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. UTG+1 calls $1, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4</font>, CO calls $4, Button calls $4, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls $3. Flop: ($17.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $12</font>, CO calls $12, Button folds, UTG+1 folds. Turn: ($41.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $20</font>, Hero calls $20. River: ($81.50) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $30</font>, Hero ?? |
#2
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Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
Well, you're better than 5 of the aces, and behind 6. He could also have an 77 potentially, although its not likely. Factor in air or a lower pocket pair into his range, I definitely think this is a call. Now, if you keep betting throughout the hand, you could easily bet/fold. Since you've checked though, I definitely call.
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#3
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Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
doubtful IMO
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#4
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Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
If he put you on an ace and could beat it, I think he'd be betting 60 or70 instead of 30. I'd call here and expect to see 99/TT/JJ here enough to make calling +EV.
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#5
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Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
Really? I think that this is AJ/AQ like 80% of the time.
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#6
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Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
I'd pay him off.
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#7
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Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
I call the river too
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#8
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Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
Pay him off.
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#9
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Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
With his river bet sizing he has you beat a high % of the time, but you only need to be good a small % of the time. It's close, but I call.
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#10
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Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
Very likely you are beat on river. Check fold is fine.
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