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#1
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Typical situation - huge draw in position
5/10 6max Party game.
Standard 2p2 TAG 22-17 raises UTG+1 and I call on the button with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] The flop is : J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] POT : 95$ He bets 90$. Now: a)I have very strong read that he will : -He will bet pot on the turn with top pair , any draw and often air (but not too often) -3bet me allin if I raise now with TP+ call with any lower pair and fold rest. -If flush card comes he pay off only one bet but if 8 or 5 comes I stack his TP+ easily How should I play my draw ? b)I have very strong read that he will check-call turn for pot control with pair hands (and call river often enough if flush card wont came that bluffing is not profitable) and only 2nd barrel with monsters (KK+). He also 3bets me allin with top pair + and fold rest. -Again he pays off only one bet if flush card comes but probably two bets (if not too large) with tp. How should I play my draw now ? I will post my thoughts on this later. |
#2
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Re: Typical situation - huge draw in position
Those reads are so specific that if you assign some intial range for villian you could fiddle with a spreadsheet and get a reasonably reliable answer. Of course, it's very hypothetical but would be useful to do.
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#3
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Re: Typical situation - huge draw in position
This is just math. Do the work yourself [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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#4
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Re: Typical situation - huge draw in position
agree with the above. youve created so precise a situation that the rest is pretty trivial.
of course, im not convinced you can be anything like as confident in your reads as you seem to be. |
#5
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Re: Typical situation - huge draw in position
1k stax? raise to $300 and if he calls and turn blanks take a free card, if you improve - shove turn. since you are pretty far ahead of his range and have good equity against almost everything i would just try to get as much money in as possible on the flop assuming 100bb.
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