$2000+150. Am I bluffing?

[Jman28]

Villain is unknown. I think a flop bet would've been the right move here. When it gets to the turn, I try to put him on a hand, and I can't think of anything besides low pocket pair. I thought about just calling and checking behind on the river, but I decided to raise just in case his pair was higher than mine.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t15 (10 handed) converter

MP3 (t1000)
CO (t1000)
Hero (t990)
SB (t985)
BB (t1000)
UTG (t1000)
UTG+1 (t1000)
UTG+2 (t775)
MP1 (t1000)
MP2 (t1250)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls t15, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, Hero calls t15, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB checks.

Flop: (t52.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks.

Turn: (t52.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets t50</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t125</font>,

[J-Lo]

i might have monsters under my bed, but why woulnd't it be a missed checkraise? People don't limp AJ in EP?

Now i see there are only 3 people in the hand. I still think it's a bluff when your betting, because he can still have 77+. I prefer a raise to a call, because i don't wanna play guessing games on the river.

[ilya]

Why can't he have KQ? That's what strikes me as his most likely hand at the turn. You think he semi-bluffs the flop 3-handed?

[Jman28]

Although he's unknown, most players at this level don't limp AJ or KQ in EP. Most will fold them, some raise. I think that AJ can't expect me to bet, and even if I do, his check raise puts him in a wierd spot if called when a diamond or face card hits.

So, I think any ace bets the flop. KQ is possible, but unlikely.

[suzzer99]

What do they do with AQ at this level?

[Jman28]

[ QUOTE ]
What do they do with AQ at this level?

[/ QUOTE ]
Usually raise.

[suzzer99]

UTG even?

[Newt_Buggs]

I don't like it. Honestly I have no idea what he has but I doubt that he's bluffing. Its not necessarily bad, but I think that he could have a lot of somewhat decent hands here that he played passively on the flop or that liked that turn card. Your raise looks like a bluff too, especially if he knows that you're an aggressive player (which I'm assuming is true).

[bigt439]

I feel a lot like Newt here. I don't get the point of this. Couldn't he have lots of hands he either missed a c/r with or things like weak aces or second pair that he just wanted to send around or something that the turn improved to a legit hand? You seem to be putting a lot of faith in your opponent playing this flop rationally, and then reacting to your turn raise in a similar way. I really don't think it's atrocious or anything because your logic isn't necessarily flawed... I just think it's off by too much to make this +EV.

[Cap_Of_Water]

AA is very possible isnt it? that would limp early, check the flop and bet the turn...