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NL100: J4s in BB flops OESD+FD. Good spot to bluff missed river?
Villain is 42/8/0.5 and basically a rather bad player. CS PF but able to lay down hands postflop. Open-limping on the BTN, I think his range is huge here.
I'm running at 18/13 so far. Comments especially appreciated on my bet sizing on the river. As mentionend, his range here is huge and tough to define, I thought he could easily be on a FD as well for example. In fact I'm betting half pot to make it look like a VB here. Additionaly, I'd be interested in which range you give villain here and if this is, at all, a good spot for a move on the river. Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter UTG+1: $80.35 UTG+2: $50.60 MP1: $99.40 MP2: $98.50 CO: $99.50 BTN: $149 SB: $141.45 Hero (BB): $197.35 UTG: $52.70 Pre-Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB) 6 folds, BTN calls $1, SB folds, Hero checks Flop: ($2.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $2</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $4</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $12</font>, BTN calls $8 Turn: ($26.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $17</font>, BTN calls $17 River: ($60.50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $30.50</font> |
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Re: NL100: J4s in BB flops OESD+FD. Good spot to bluff missed river?
I think the main question is "Do you think a .5 AF (even given his VPIP) is raising the flop without a Queen/KJ?" If I had to guess, (and what else can we do in this spot, right?) he open-limped a hand that he wanted to play, but didn't want to raise. I'd say scs and broadwaus make up a good part of his range (small PPs might be here too). When he raises the flop, I'd put his range as T9/KJ/QJ/TJ/QT and maybe 78s. The river is terrible news for 2 pair hands, but if villain is terrible, he might not read your 1/2 PSB as a value bet (or read it at all) and call you. How many hands do you have on him? Over a large enough smaple, I try not to make moves like this against players with low AFs.
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