NL200 - AK turns top two, but I don't think its good.

[moldman]

Villain is 16/7/0.8 through 200 hands. This is 77 or 99 like 90% of the time, right?

<u>Hero (SB): $332.20</u>
BB: $80.45
<u>UTG: $200.00</u>
UTG+1: $200.00
MP1: $197.00
MP2: $204.05
MP3: $197.80
CO: $254.15
BTN: $96.70

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (9 Players)
UTG calls $2.00, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, CO folds, BTN calls $2.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $10.00</font>, BB folds, UTG calls $8.00, BTN folds

Flop: ($24) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $18.00</font>, UTG calls $18.00

Turn: ($60) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $45.00</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises all-in to $172.00</font>, Hero folds??

[SABR42]

Meh, I call.

Could also be A9 or A7.

Not thrilled about it though.

[Teddie]

Easy fold i think. I dont think a Villan with those stats(specially the AF) is limping A9 or A7 UTG and RAI on the turn.

[mce86]

Id think a fold is a good move here. Villian is not making that move often, so lets give credit for at least a chop.

[bottomset]

[ QUOTE ]
Id think a fold is a good move here. Villian is not making that move often, so lets give credit for at least a chop.

[/ QUOTE ]

folding a chop getting over 2/1 is bad

and he'll show up with A9/A7 too

[mce86]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Id think a fold is a good move here. Villian is not making that move often, so lets give credit for at least a chop.

[/ QUOTE ]

folding a chop getting over 2/1 is bad

and he'll show up with A9/A7 too

[/ QUOTE ]
I didnt think a 16/7 is going to limp UTG with a7, a9, and if he did, calling a raise as well? Not worried about AK? 0.8 aggr factor? Thats low..

[bottomset]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Id think a fold is a good move here. Villian is not making that move often, so lets give credit for at least a chop.

[/ QUOTE ]

folding a chop getting over 2/1 is bad

and he'll show up with A9/A7 too

[/ QUOTE ]
I didnt think a 16/7 is going to limp UTG with a7, a9, and if he did, calling a raise as well? Not worried about AK? 0.8 aggr factor? Thats low..

[/ QUOTE ]

its 200hands(he's only played ~30 of them, and many prob haven't made it to the flop)

ag factors take a long time to converge

[Thrahl]

I'm not folding this.

[The Student]

[ QUOTE ]
Id think a fold is a good move here. Villian is not making that move often,

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed, so i'd be willing to let this one go in this spot. it would be a little tougher if I had been splashing around in a bunch of pots prior to this and i might have an aggro image. but based on his stats, i don't think you're seeing something other than a set often enough to call this profitably.

ts-

[bmanning]

16/7 isn't gonna limp a7s or a9s and call 8 more oop. this is chop or sets or AQ clubs or air(spade flush draw that maybe includes a gutshot, maybe jt spades????)

I'm a 16/7 give or take and i would never limp a7 a9 sooted and call a raise but i will be more likely to limp jt sooted and call a raise.