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#1
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Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Tournament Blinds: t30/t60 7 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: t2060 UTG+1: t1915 MP1: t880 CO: t1665 Button: t2685 SB: t2875 Hero: t1420 Pre-flop: (7 players) Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2 folds, MP1 calls t60 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t90)</font>, CO folds, Button calls t60 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t150)</font>, SB folds, SB folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to t300</font>, MP1 folds, Button calls t240 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t390)</font>. Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (t690, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets t350</font>, Button calls t350 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t1040)</font>. Turn: J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (t1390, 2 players) Villain is your average limp/call raise with pretty cards. He quite likely to have middle pair, Str8 or flush here. Size of my flop bet and wtf do I do on the turn ?? |
#2
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Bet 450 on flop, shove the turn.
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#3
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[ QUOTE ]
Bet 500ish on flop, shove the turn. [/ QUOTE ] Just a mild difference, but meh. |
#4
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From his read surely shoving the turn is a -EV play no?
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#5
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That turn card was one of the worst possible you can see. But you're really hurting after that flop bet... you'd have about 700 chips left. Meh. I think there's a high probability you're drawing dead on that turn card. I actually think it's better to check-fold that turn and hope to get lucky with your 700 chip stack - it's better than having ZERO chips because you got all-in drawing dead.
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#6
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[ QUOTE ]
From his read surely shoving the turn is a -EV play no? [/ QUOTE ] As played it's close, but if we bet 450-500 on the flop and he just calls WE HAVE TO push any turn because we have already committed ourselfto the hand. It is also possible this is some donk with top pair or that turn scared him as much as it does us. Losing half your stack by folding an unimproved AA before a showdown in a $6.50 is NEVER an ok thing to do in my opinion. |
#7
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Open Push this flop ?
Seems may a bit oversized, but I like it. Edit : I tought about it a bit more and I stick with Open Push flop. We are ahead most of the time, its only "400" more then pot, hands like AQ or KQ, even QJ or Q5 will call us and we charge as much as possible from the draws. |
#8
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You need to bet pot on the flop, then the turn is pretty much irrelevant as you will be going ai no matter what hits
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#9
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This is probably a leak, but in situations like this I push the flop if there are two cards to a flush or three to a straight. Donks will call with any draw at all no matter what I bet on the flop, so at least I get my money in with the best hand instead of surrendering it after they sucked out.
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