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#1
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Probability Q
I need 28.5% equity to make a breakeven call here, right?
players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: $85 UTG+1: $114.60 CO: $81.81 Hero: $98.50Party Poker No Limit Holdem Ring game Blinds: $0.50/$1 6 SB: $159.67 BB: $68.34 Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] UTG calls, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises to $5</font>, CO folds, Hero calls, 2 folds, UTG calls. Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($16.5, 3 players) UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $11</font>, UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises all-in $109.6</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero calls all-in $82.5</font>. Uncalled bets: $16.1 returned to UTG+1. |
#2
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Re: Probability Q
You are calling $82.50 to win $121.10
82.5:121.1 = 1:1.46 = you need 40.5% equity |
#3
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Re: Probability Q
pot= 16.5+11+11+82.5= 121.
121 to 82.5 = 1 to 1.466666 = you are getting one and a half to one. one and a half to one is the same as 3 to 2. 3 to 2 is %40 to %60. you need to be slightly more than %40 to have the correct odds to call. also, titling stuff in the probability forum "probability q," not so helpful. |
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