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Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines
The best time to bet NCAA football games is right when they open on Sunday evening (usually somewhere from 4-7 PM, with Cris and Pinny usually opening around the same time).
I think it might be handy to get a cross-section of opinions on what some of the forum's NCAAF junkies think the correct line should be (and maybe what they think it will open at and where the opportunity may be) regarding their most closely-followed teams and the other major games. I am a Kentucky expert. Kent St. comes to Lexington next week after knocking off Iowa State in Ames. Without knowing a great deal about Kent State, I'd like Kentucky at -7 or better, and Kent St. at +14 or better. After the Kent State win, I think a reasonable possibility exists it will open around -6 at which I would like Kentucky quite a bit at home. I will do some research on Kent State and also some of next week's other games and follow up. Chime in with your thoughts! P.S. The next Michigan spread should be interesting. |
#2
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Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines
Kentucky -11.5
Michigan -4 |
#3
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Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines
really curious about the following lines:
USF @ Auburn (-6) ??? Boise St (-5) ??? @ Wash |
#4
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Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines
I have Auburn -2.5
and Boise -2 from my power index |
#5
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Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines
[ QUOTE ]
I have Auburn -2.5 and Boise -2 from my power index [/ QUOTE ] Never bet against Boise State..... they cover spreads as often as Lindsey Lohan quits rehab... about once a week. |
#6
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Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines
you will never ever see me bet or not bet based on how a team does covering spreads historically
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#7
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Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines
Kentucky -11.5 sounds pretty much dead on what I would consider a correct line.
If you have Auburn -2.5...you're gonna be loading up on USF. Does that -2.5 factor in home field? |
#8
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Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines
VT/LSU anyone? I'm thinking LSU -6.5 or 7. Wouldn't start liking VT until past 10. They looked pretty blah today - can't see them getting too many points on the board against LSU.
O/U on this will need to be pretty low. |
#9
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Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines
LSU -10 according to my index
yeah...everything includes home field advantage |
#10
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Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines
Did you notice that USF didn't exactly pound Elon today?
I think 7 would be basically right for that game. |
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