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#1
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rivered 2pair facing overbet FTP 25-50
villian is arabiannight (i have him at roughly 18/12). we are playing on two tables currently, and have been for several hours. probably views me as willing to make thin/weak calls (though not necessarily on the river, i'm sure i'm bluffed out way too much on the river).
4 handed villain (9,435) UTG hero (6,242) B with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] villain raises to 175, hero calls, blinds fold flop (422): Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] villain bets 350, hero calls arabiannight is more than willing to repop with a Q or better here and i don't want to get blown off. he knows my range is pretty wide here (any pair or FD or OESD). mistake to call here even sometimes? turn (1122): J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] villain bets 850, hero calls i think a call here is the only option, anyone disagree? river (2822): K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] villain pushes, hero ?? (4,867 to call) never seen him do this before, only thing i could think is a set hoping to get paid off by KQ/QJ here, but my hand is so underrepped. expecting most of you will say easy fold |
#2
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Re: rivered 2pair facing overbet FTP 25-50
yes, calling is the only option on the turn.
on the river, it's an easy fold against a bad/average player. against a good player i dunno, flip a coin. |
#3
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Re: rivered 2pair facing overbet FTP 25-50
[ QUOTE ]
yes, calling is the only option on the turn. on the river, it's an easy fold against a bad/average player. against a good player i dunno, flip a coin. [/ QUOTE ] I agree with this, but lean moreso towards calling in this spot. Its an obvious nutts/nothing type scenario. From what I know, arbian is at least an agressive regular in these games. I think he puts you on a queen or busted draw or any other small two pair hand he thinks you can fold.. it really looks like a bluff to me b/c with a high set or hand that has been dominating you all the way through, I think he prolly tries to get value you out of you; pushing here with a big hand for him IS a good play but i think from his perspective its very thin.. (plus you mentioned he doesnt do it much) I expect to see A10 from him most times hes beating you. |
#4
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Re: rivered 2pair facing overbet FTP 25-50
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#5
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Re: rivered 2pair facing overbet FTP 25-50
IF STACKS WERE 5K WOULD ANYONE CONSIDERING SHOVING THE TURN A GOOD PLAY?
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#6
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Re: rivered 2pair facing overbet FTP 25-50
I BELEIVE RIVER IS A FOLD, IF THIS WAS A CLASSIC BLUFF/NUTS SITUATION THERE IS NO NEED TO OVER-BET THE POT WHEN A BET OFF 1800~ WOULD RESULT IN THE EXACT SAME OUTCOME.
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#7
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Re: rivered 2pair facing overbet FTP 25-50
[ QUOTE ]
HOW BAD WOULD IT BE TO SHOVE THE TURN? [/ QUOTE ] seems bad. whats the point? he folds out a bluff, and all hands ur already beating except maybe a queen if ur lucky. then he calls when hes ahead |
#8
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Re: rivered 2pair facing overbet FTP 25-50
Hi ceczar,
This one really depends on what he thinks about you. You seem to think that you are a bit of a station until the river, at which point you fold too much. If this is how he views you, as well, then you have to call here; this is the kind of river that would make it really tough on a hand that was trying to get to showdown while controlling the pot size. That's what it really looks like to me, in most cases. The exception would be if he just views you as a station, period--but then it's obvious that he'll rarely be bluffing here. With the info provided, I'd say you have a fairly easy call, though obviously you can only beat a bluff. Regarding the flop play, you should be raising here A LOT. If he 3-bets a lot with a Q or better, then you should just shove/call when he 3-bets. You're not usually in bad shape at all here, and quite often, he just can't call the raise. Habitually not raising in this spot vs. a decent, aggressive player is surely a leak. You have to find lots of places where you keep yourself from getting run over, to balance the times when you are fastplaying big hands against these players. Flush draws with an overcard and backdoor straight draw are good spots to do this. |
#9
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Re: rivered 2pair facing overbet FTP 25-50
cero is right, this is a good spot to crank it up on the flop
also, i would definately call the river. if you were unlucky enough to RR 2pair vs QQ KQ or 22/33, then so be it. |
#10
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Re: rivered 2pair facing overbet FTP 25-50
Against particular villian this is a clear fold.
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