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#1
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Peeling the flop for OESD
Villain is a solid player, 21.7/8.3/2.1
PokerStars 0.50/1.00 Hold'em (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Preflop: Hero is BB with 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 calls, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, Hero checks. Flop: (3.50 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets</font>, MP2 folds, Hero calls. I have 8 outs (4.88-to-1) to make a draw, pot is laying 4.5-to-1 so not quite enough. BDFD runner runner would not be quality, so I don't allocate any for that. I would prefer 5 instead of 10. I don't peel often but now I do. Turn: (2.75 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, UTG+1 checks. I realise villain might be drawing too but I've only committed one small bet so far extra and if he bets I can always fold. Can't really see turn card helping my case. River: (2.75 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero ? |
#2
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Re: Peeling the flop for OESD
b/c
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#3
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Re: Peeling the flop for OESD
Tyler why arent you bet/raising? Is a player like this going to limp with KQ?
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#4
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Re: Peeling the flop for OESD
if he raises he either has the straight with something like J9 or 98, and there's a chance he donkchecked the turn with a flush.
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#5
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Re: Peeling the flop for OESD
[ QUOTE ]
if he raises he either has the straight with something like J9 or 98, and there's a chance he donkchecked the turn with a flush. [/ QUOTE ] with a 2.1 aggression factor. no way this would take a sick read for him to be able to do this (knowing we are on a draw). my guess is he has a club with a weak pair. however i aggree with ur b/c line i would do this all the time because this river is scarry and someone with a 2.1 af will bluff this possibly. i think b/c is the line thats my final answer. |
#6
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Re: Peeling the flop for OESD
people will check behind here with a flush because they will think that card is too scary for you to call. believe me. it is a factor to include if you get raised on the river.
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#7
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Re: Peeling the flop for OESD
I'm pretty tempted to bet this flop.
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#8
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Re: Peeling the flop for OESD
[ QUOTE ]
I'm pretty tempted to bet this flop. [/ QUOTE ] i'm not because utg probably limps hands that hit pretty hard here, and if he doesn't have one, there's still a chance the other guy does. if it checks around i'll bet a 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 T or J. |
#9
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Re: Peeling the flop for OESD
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I'm pretty tempted to bet this flop. [/ QUOTE ] i'm not because utg probably limps hands that hit pretty hard here, and if he doesn't have one, there's still a chance the other guy does. if it checks around i'll bet a 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 T or J. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, betting probably isn't so good. I'm still tempted, though. |
#10
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Re: Peeling the flop for OESD
@ Miles: So the reason we aren't b/3 here is because it is most likely that his raise signifies a chop or some weirdly played flush? Is a 2.1 AG soild player going to check behind his flush?
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