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  #1  
Old 10-27-2007, 05:07 PM
BrandiFan BrandiFan is offline
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Default Did I analyze this right? 3rd pair considering river call.

Ok, I may have donked this up. I'm not that experienced in ring games...
UTG has been opening liberally from any position and generally lagging it up. No read on button as he just got to the table.
My combo draw on 4th turns into a pair of tens and I think I am ahead so I put out a blocking bet which he instashoves over. I am thinking he would flat call if he had a K or J, so I figure he either has a boat or air and I am getting 4-1. I called, thoughts on all streets are appreciated.
Poker Stars, $3/$6 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG+2: $705
MP1: $615
MP2: $801.50
CO: $600
BTN: $176.40
Hero (SB): $216.75
BB: $339
UTG: $655.70
UTG+1: $600

Pre-Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $12</font>, 5 folds, BTN calls $12, Hero calls $9, BB calls $6

Flop: ($48) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 Players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($48) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $35</font>, 2 folds, BTN calls $35

River: ($118) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $50</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $129.40 and is All-In</font>
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  #2  
Old 10-27-2007, 05:19 PM
oyvindgee oyvindgee is offline
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Default Re: Did I analyze this right? 3rd pair considering river call.

What makes you think your pair is good initially? There's btw virtually no way he's bluff raising river this shallow stacked.
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  #3  
Old 10-27-2007, 05:31 PM
BrandiFan BrandiFan is offline
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Default Re: Did I analyze this right? 3rd pair considering river call.

I thought he wasn't calling turn with a gutshot, maybe a flush draw, if he had paired the K he probably raises the turn. Jacks probably bet the flop. If he flopped a set he gave 3 opponents a chance to hit the turn.
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  #4  
Old 10-27-2007, 05:33 PM
Jamougha Jamougha is offline
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Default Re: Did I analyze this right? 3rd pair considering river call.

I expect he is a donk with AQ.
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  #5  
Old 10-27-2007, 05:36 PM
BrandiFan BrandiFan is offline
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Default Re: Did I analyze this right? 3rd pair considering river call.

turns out he was a donk with 66, not sure what he was thinking.
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  #6  
Old 10-27-2007, 05:39 PM
BrandiFan BrandiFan is offline
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Default Re: Did I analyze this right? 3rd pair considering river call.

Also
Brag: a couple orbits later I got it in with KK vs Grimms QQ
Beat: 3rd opponent had aces
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