|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
FT Hand against Apestyles (is this -$ev)
Notice Stacks
Villain is Apestyles. Veryyy Aggressive and very good. He wanted me to point out that he was drinking and the only reason he was playing this tourney was too win and get PLB's b/c of a bet. Payouts: 1.5670 2.3780 3.2250 Poker Stars No Limit Holdem Tournament Blinds: t2000/t4000 (Ante: t400) 3 players Converter Stack sizes: Hero: t203844 SB: t379018 BB: t27638 Pre-flop: (3 players) Hero is Button with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to t12000</font>, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises to t72000</font>, BB folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises all-in t203444</font> |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: FT Hand against Apestyles (is this -$ev)
Notice the guy in 3rd has < 6 BBs after the BB and is nitty as hell. Hasn't played a hand in 2-3 orbits. Basically, without ridiculous luck he is going out 3rd. Oh, and it should be known that I almost never fold getting 2.2:1 preflop.
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: FT Hand against Apestyles (is this -$ev)
looks like a clear fold to the 3-bet.
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: FT Hand against Apestyles (is this -$ev)
Not sure. Ape will dwefinitely 3-bet you pretty wide here you`re probably right about it being +cEV at least. I`m not an ICM but I suspect it`s still very -SEV though. Pretty straightforward to do the math and find out what equity you need against his range (I`m obv too lazy right now tho).
|
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: FT Hand against Apestyles (is this -$ev)
[ QUOTE ]
Not sure. Ape will dwefinitely 3-bet you pretty wide here you`re probably right about it being +cEV at least. I`m not an ICM but I suspect it`s still very -SEV though. Pretty straightforward to do the math and find out what equity you need against his range (I`m obv too lazy right now tho). [/ QUOTE ] |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: FT Hand against Apestyles (is this -$ev)
His 6x 3bet is so goofy you must have his range obliterated. Any $EV calculations would assume he's calling here, I don't think he is. It's a game of chicken, he repped that he was pot committed (although he wouldn't ever play a good hand this way), you repped that you didn't care that he was pot committed. I like the play.
|
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: FT Hand against Apestyles (is this -$ev)
If he had shoved would you fold? Cause this is the exact same thing.
|
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: FT Hand against Apestyles (is this -$ev)
I agree. My raise basically is saying my hand sucks but u cant call.
|
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Re: FT Hand against Apestyles (is this -$ev)
But if you think your opponent is hip to an inverse relationship of bet size and hand strength you can pull something like this with a big pair to elicit the allin ...
|
#10
|
|||
|
|||
Re: FT Hand against Apestyles (is this -$ev)
[ QUOTE ]
But if you think your opponent is hip to an inverse relationship of bet size and hand strength you can pull something like this with a big pair to elicit the allin ... [/ QUOTE ] No. Given the short stacked 3rd player, ZJ will have to fold mediocre hands to any sized reraise, will shove strong hands over a normal sized reraise but fold (or consider folding, as in this thread) them to a huge "I'm pot committed reraise". So if apestyles has a monster hand, making a normal sized reraise dominates making a larger reraise, which means it's as good as or better than in all possible scenarios. Which is why I said he would never do this with a good hand. |
|
|