$22 180 Stars tourney - final 5 big decision

glass_onion · #1 03-09-2007, 11:25 AM

I just became chip leader at 72k chips. opponent has 60k, and is my target as the most looose/aggressive. He has 'restolen' once when I limped SB into his BB, pushing 50k. Otherwise, I'm lookng to resteal him.

I've been pretty wild at the previous table, but non discript here at the final table. Table is playing passive, a lot of blind stealing and hands being checked down. besides me and villian ( 72k, 60k) three others have 30-40k.

Blinds + ante's = 3k approx, so I'm atm=24, villian m=16. Effective m's are half that, so i definetely feel that people aren't playing aggressive enough, and fold equity is where it is at.

UTG+1 I get 33. make it 10k (5bb) Villian pushes for 50k. Folds back to me. I don't feel he is making a play, i'd put him on top 20% here, effectively 33+ ajs+ AQo+ KQs+, and I've obviously fine against that range given pot odds. This is basically for the tourney though. I win this I'm basically winning the thing.

I was thinking I could fold because I've been so effective wielding my stack, nad the table is playing so passive. On the other hand, i'm probably 50/50 to win the tourney right here.

I call.

Anyone play any differently.

L_N_J · #2 03-09-2007, 11:32 AM

I don't like such a big raise with 33 here. You are almost committing yourself to call a push from those with 30k. When villain pushes I think it is an easy fold as you are at best racing. I would make it 5-6k here then I think it is less likely you will get pushed at.

Sessna · #3 03-09-2007, 11:37 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I don't like such a big raise with 33 here. You are almost committing yourself to call a push from those with 30k. When villain pushes I think it is an easy fold as you are at best racing. I would make it 5-6k here then I think it is less likely you will get pushed at.

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed

paddymcg21 · #4 03-09-2007, 11:43 AM

Gotta be a fold. Those kind of hands are dangerous, your either 50 -50 or 85 -15 dog. Even if your putting him on a bluff it will still be a race. Easy fold.

Javanewt · #5 03-09-2007, 12:08 PM

Easy fold. I wouldn't have raised it pre-flop. Those small pps are too easily dominated.

shaundeeb · #6 03-09-2007, 12:17 PM

LOLL, you just convinced yourself to make horrible call after making 10 previous mistakes. Raise 2.50-3x PF def fold to his shove, the whole if I win this hand I win tourney is a fine mindset but not when calling 20more bbs with 33 with 5 invested which it should have never even been .