Do I have the nuts, or is is possible he has me beat?

[Tickner]

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $296.42
<font color="black">Hero (BB): $204.70</font>
UTG: $410.10
MP: $176.00
CO: $199.00
BTN: $286.58

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6 Players)
3 folds, BTN calls $2.00, SB calls $1.00, Hero checks

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($6) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($6) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $6.00</font>, Hero calls $6.00, BTN calls $6.00

<font color="black">River:</font> ($24) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $8.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $31.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $80.00</font>, SB folds

sucks that I am readless here, Ive been pretty nittish/aggro this session (prob like 50 hands with him), hes 22/8 PF though

[thac]

Do you normally call a PSB here on the turn with a FD + GS + maybe an over?

[Tickner]

[ QUOTE ]
Do you normally call a PSB here on the turn with a FD + GS + maybe an over?

[/ QUOTE ]

meh, not usually, might be bad.

[Nick Royale]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Do you normally call a PSB here on the turn with a FD + GS + maybe an over?

[/ QUOTE ]

meh, not usually, might be bad.

[/ QUOTE ]
You need to make $6 on the river on average to call this (I don't think the 3rd player will raise behind often). Villain might bet out with a worse turned fd in which case we have 7 stacking outs. We also might have a golden card in Jc. Besides, even a ragged club will probably win us more than $6 on average.

[thac]

So does that mean we need to make $30 when we hit our flush on the river?

[Nick Royale]

[ QUOTE ]
So does that mean we need to make $30 when we hit our flush on the river?

[/ QUOTE ]
No, it means you need to make $6 when you hit on average (assuming 12 outs, $5 to be exact). Edit: not to be a jerk, but pretty basic maths I think any NL-player needs to know.

[ikestoys]

i dunno wtf the question is on the turn regarding how much we need to make on the river.

i go broke here, he has a smaller flush A LOT and he'd have to be an idiot to get here this way with a set/two pair on the turn

[Jay Riall]

Meh, I fold the the river 3bet. This will be a boat soo often imo. His line really looks like 77 or a flopped 2pair that went for a check/raise.

[Logun]

I think he has to lead his 2 pair on a flop like that. If he turned a set of 7's well then gg/nh.

[Nick Royale]

[ QUOTE ]
Do you normally call a PSB here on the turn with a FD + GS + maybe an over?

[/ QUOTE ]
You're not questioning the turn call? It's very standard imo...