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#1
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50NL KK faces flopshove
Villian is 56/10/1.2 over 210
I am 24/20/3.5 Is this the kind of villian that will never shove a draw? iPoker No-Limit Texas Hold'em (NL50), $0.50 BB (6 handed) SilverKitty Hand History converter by www.pokeronline.com.ua BB ($91.55) MP2 ($50) Hero ($52.75) CO ($15.25) Button ($66.3) SB ($48.5) SB: Post SB $0.25 BB: Post BB $0.50 Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#666666">1 folds</font> Hero Raise $1.75 <font color="#666666">2 folds</font> SB Call $1.5 BB Call $1.25 Flop:($5.25) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]<font color="#0030DD">(3 players)</font> SB Check BB Bet $2 Hero Raise $8 <font color="#666666">1 folds</font> BB bet $49 Hero ?? 43 to call in a 64 pot = I need 40% equity |
#2
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Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
I fold this flop easily.
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#3
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Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
Mh, his af of 1.2 might be low, but dont forget that his range is also very wide, thus he is pretty aggressive compared to the average hand he holds, so it is quite possible that he could be doing this with a draw.
He could be doing this with qq/jj as well as with a set and some odd 2pair hands. Mayb even a10 or K10 and of course some FDs with overs and some OESFDS. Id run his range through poker stove but it keeps freezing by me :S. Id guess that you are behind his range tough as the overpairs and tptk hands are very unlikely for him to shove with, without a better read regarding how he plays tptk/overs on drawy board id fold this. |
#4
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Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
My first thought is: he has J9, fold.
These 50/10/1 opponents often limp/call every hand, waiting to flop the nuts, then, when they hit the flop hard, they shove. They get called a lot, because nobody gives them credit for a hand, since "he can have anything here". Usually that anything is something that can beat AA. |
#5
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Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
Would a made hand from BB really take this line? I'm wondering if even a 1.2 AF would lead for less than 1/2 pot, then shove over our raise (which I think should be bigger, IMO maybe 9.50-10.00). Seems he would be more likely to call and get it in on the turn, trying to string us along for another bet.
I'd like to say I fold this, but do so very reluctantly. |
#6
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Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
I'll run it through pokerstove, any suggestions on the range?
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#7
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Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 70.367% 69.24% 01.13% 385912 6291.50 { KdKh } Hand 1: 29.633% 28.50% 01.13% 158875 6291.50 { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J3s+, T4s+, 95s+, 85s+, 76s, A2o+, K4o+, Q6o+, J7o+, T7o+, 97o+, 87o } I ran with a standard top 56% of hands with a slight bias to include 22 and factor out some of the really raggy suited connectors. |
#8
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Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
[ QUOTE ]
Ever since I read Pokey's HUD article [/ QUOTE ] linky plz the small bet/overbet shove almost always indicates real strength. He's also donking into the PFR which is unlikely to be a draw. It's an odd board though and you will sometimes see some weirdness, but I really think unless he has exactly A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] for the flush and straight draw he'd likely just call your raise with a draw. |
#9
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Re: 50NL KK faces flopshove
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Ever since I read Pokey's HUD article [/ QUOTE ] linky plz the small bet/overbet shove almost always indicates real strength. He's also donking into the PFR which is unlikely to be a draw. It's an odd board though and you will sometimes see some weirdness, but I really think unless he has exactly A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] for the flush and straight draw he'd likely just call your raise with a draw. [/ QUOTE ] I definitely think calling here is doing so expecting to be behind a lot. Here's the link: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...age=0&vc=1 There's pictures in the thread too. |
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