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#1
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Good spot for thin value betting? NL25
Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter MP: $27.75 Hero (CO): $25.35 BTN: $24.65 SB: $18.05 BB: $7.90 UTG: $75.60 Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO) UTG calls $0.25, MP folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.25</font>, 3 folds, UTG calls $1 Flop: ($2.85) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2</font>, UTG calls $2 Turn: ($6.85) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) UTG checks, Hero checks River: ($6.85) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) UTG checks, Hero ? Villain is unknown. I think we should bet here because I think he calls here with alot of his flop range which is basically weak aces, small-mid PPs, Jx, and also maybe a QT or QK, while he is folding a missed flush draw. Also, I think most villains would bet somewhere with an ace so that pretty much narrows his range down to hands we beat. Do you think so? |
#2
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Re: Good spot for thin value betting? NL25
Yes, make it small though. I value bet hands like this all the time. It would be exploitable by decent players but how likely is a NL25 unknown to fit that profile?
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#3
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Re: Good spot for thin value betting? NL25
a vbet here is perfect imo. obviously fold to a c/r
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#4
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Re: Good spot for thin value betting? NL25
Your analysis looks pretty good. I bet about 1/2 pot here
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#5
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Re: Good spot for thin value betting? NL25
I like your analysis on the hand but I think its pretty close between check behind and bet $3-3.5.
One reason is I don't think we should discount a weak ace here at all. I see a lot of weak players play it this way and c/c the river. |
#6
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Re: Good spot for thin value betting? NL25
value bettings fine here vs the right type of player. i dont agree with a 1/2 pot+ bet, it needs to be much smaller imo. somwhere between 1/3 - 2/5's
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#7
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Re: Good spot for thin value betting? NL25
I bet $2 and watch him call with a jack
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#8
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Re: Good spot for thin value betting? NL25
I dont know about this, an ace isnt folding, there are now two overs to a smaller pair and the small bet looks so weak you are begging to be raised off the pot.
I might be missing value, bur unless you have villain pegged as calling down with under pairs I would just check behind |
#9
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Re: Good spot for thin value betting? NL25
i check because the Q makes it harder for him to call with a J and because he never folds his ace no kicker
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#10
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Re: Good spot for thin value betting? NL25
I would check behind.
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