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#1
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Wong Teasers, Week 4
Don't mean to infringe on Daliman's thread starting, but a lot of close calls this week I'd like to get some thoughts on. Odds vary depending on where you look.
Falcons (+2.5 with plus odds or +3 with big minus) Minnesota (+2) definitely San Francisco (+2) definitely New England -7.5 with plus odds, -7 with minus odds Detroit (+2.5 with plus odds in some places) How far can the +2.5 or -7.5 get positive odds and have it still be +EV at 6pt 2 team -110? |
#2
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 4
I teased on the 25th Detroit w/ the Patriots and got +8.5 and -2 on 5Dimes. Only one I touched so far. Looks like both are at that still on 5Dimes.
Showing a true Pinny line of the Pats -7 and the Lions +2.5 so I am happy with that Wong so far. Like San Fran alot, not sure about the Falcons but no Johnson for Houston is huge for them. That is if the Falcons can just not suck complete a$$. All the "smart/sharp" cappers around the net love Minny outright which I don't care for. But with the magic of Wong I don't mind it too much. -Brendan |
#3
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 4
What about the big negative +3 dogs, NYG +3(-120) and TB +3(-120)? NYG is at home, so I would think that this is a profitable play, maybe not TB, though.
When there are so many plays, how do you really pick and choose? I don't think my bankroll can handle every permutation(I'm already on all possible permutation of NE/MIN/SF). I know that this is covered in the FAQ, but I'm still pretty unsure. |
#4
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 4
given that road favorites are the worst subset of the modern era on basic teasers, I would skip out on using New England when they might not even fit the criteria to begin with
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#5
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 4
jinx, you owe me a coke
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#6
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 4
I love NE to outright cover the 7 so that is why I played them in the teaser. I do agree they are one of the weaker plays since it is a road fav.
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#7
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 4
I'd love to hear what Daliman has to say on this, but I'm avoiding NE this week because they are a road favorite, and I'm showing that road favorites that are technically "wongable" only cover 66% of the time, not enough to be profitable in a combination.
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#8
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 4
[ QUOTE ]
I'd love to hear what Daliman has to say on this, but I'm avoiding NE this week because they are a road favorite, and I'm showing that road favorites that are technically "wongable" only cover 66% of the time, not enough to be profitable in a combination. [/ QUOTE ] Far as I'm concerned, a Wong is a Wong. Sure, road faves are the worst performing wong subset, but they are still profitable over most stretches. |
#9
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 4
[ QUOTE ]
I don't think my bankroll can handle every permutation(I'm already on all possible permutation of NE/MIN/SF). [/ QUOTE ] This is absolutely preposterous. |
#10
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 4
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I don't think my bankroll can handle every permutation(I'm already on all possible permutation of NE/MIN/SF). [/ QUOTE ] This is absolutely preposterous. [/ QUOTE ] I was not saying I'll outbet my bankroll, just that I don't feel comfortable with 30%+(if the other 2-3 games are Wongable) of my bankroll on any given weekend. I would love to hear why it is preposterous(no sarcasm). |
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