O Baluga, how you torment me

[ama0330]

Villain is 22/8/2.3, no specific history

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $104.50
BB: $50.00
UTG: $33.09
MP: $49.00
CO: $116.39
Hero (BTN): $55.99

Preflop: Hero is dealt K K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG calls $0.50, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2.50</font>, 2 folds, UTG calls $2.00

Flop: ($5.75) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $5.00</font>, UTG calls $5.00

Turn: ($15.75) 2 (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $11.00</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises all-in to $25.59</font>, Hero has Kings!! KINGS I say!!

[sightless]

I cant fold to this turn c/r

[2mb]

This looks really like a set of threes with the limp/call preflop, but with like $15 more to call I also can't fold here. I call and make a note how he plays his small pairs/set.

[foal]

calll. if he had a lot of money behind it'd be different.

[Student Caine]

I have a separate question. You think that we are looking at a set of 3's. If this guy raises 8% preflop...do we think he would raise TT or 88 here preflop?

I know that in response to OT's post TT or 88 or 33 is irrelevant - however, I am trying to work on my preflop reads and am having a hard time determining what PF raise %'s correlate to what hand range. Obviously I know that the guy with a 1% PF raise over a 1000 hand sample is only raising with AA...but I get thrown off as the %'s get higher...

[mellonBALLER]

gotta call

[Rounder101]

this one is an insta call with those huge odds. Definetely we could see Js, Qs, AT, 9s or worse, more than once every 4 times

[orange]

[ QUOTE ]
I cant fold to this turn c/r

[/ QUOTE ]

[Hail Eris]

I probably just check behind on the turn against this dude. Don't know what we're beating now, but it's hard to fold getting odds like that.

[Student Caine]

Man, these situations always make me sick. This one is the worst too because we can't even rationalize with "he is overplaying his draw", because there are no flippin' draws [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Bah - hit post too quick....

So we are looking at paying ~$14 for ~$51...so we are almost getting 4:1. Do we see a bluff or TPTK here 20-25% of the time?

Also, what do we think about checking the turn? There really aren't any draws out there, but I hate to give someone a free card to pair his kicker or show weakness here because we really won't know where we are if he bets. Man...this kind of bites...