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#1
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poker tracker analysis
ive been tearing away at my stats, took some notes and jotted down some things. I’m only +3.12BB/100 on my last 15k hands and really feel I should be somewhere around +10BB/100. Anyhow i'd love some comments , criticisms, flames, and pointers. thanks.
15000 hands 24 / 17 / 2.5 +3.12BB / 100 MEDIOCRE attempt to steal blinds 35% +.35 bb/hand with chance to steal and raised IDEAL? When putting money in from a blind I’m +.19bb/hand- VERY GOOD? Losing .09 bb/hand defending blind against steal- SHOULD I BE FOLDING MORE? OR IS THIS INSIGNIFICANT? vpip / raise button 38 29 26 23 16 15 12 11 bb 17 8 sb 28 14 SOLID? when raised first in and the flop came heads up.. I’m only +.06bb/hand – SEEMS LOW? when raised first in and the flop comes multi way . I’m +1.29bb/hand – SEEMS GOOD? Maybe because I’m c-betting air less frequently in a multiway pot? Should I c-bet heads up less maybe? cold calling raises im losing .92bb/hand: cold calling with pairs im losing 2.67bb/hand. Cold calling with suited connectors I’m losing 3.56bb/hand I think that a small sample is causing me to lose with pairs perhaps. Also I cant seem to figure out how my cold calls in general is such a small loss with the suited connectors and pairs being big losses (with what hands am I winning cold calls?). Anyhow, I think my overall winrate would go up dramatically if I stop cold calling with suited connectors. I C-bet 54% and raise a donk bet 6% (both numbers seem low as I “feel” I cbet closer to 75%) AF Pre-2.08 Flop-3.05 Turn-2.00 River-1.87 Average without preflop-2.51 which is not high enough, a buddy of mine has a AF of in the 4-5 range. We’ve watched each other play though, I don’t know why mine is so low.. cant figure this out. |
#2
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Re: poker tracker analysis
Everything looks fine, I wouldn't worry about it. Over 15k hands the difference between what you won and what you think you should be winning can boil down to a handful of bad breaks. One thing I noticed is "Cold calling with suited connectors I’m losing 3.56bb/hand." I wouldn't cold call a raise with any SC under 9Ts, so maybe that's a leak. Also how much you've been winning with AA and KK would help-most of your winnings come from those 2 hands.
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#3
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Re: poker tracker analysis
[ QUOTE ]
Also how much you've been winning with AA and KK would help-most of your winnings come from those 2 hands. [/ QUOTE ] im +3.57BB/hand with AA and +3.85BB/hand with KK sounds about right, right? |
#4
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Re: poker tracker analysis
I am sorry, but based on your post and number of hands you've played I really don't think you're a 10ptbb/100 player. In fact, according to many vets. very few players attain even 8ptbb/100 in todays online environment.
You should be happy with anything over 0ptbb/100, and a longterm winrate of 4ptbb/100 is quite decent. |
#5
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Re: poker tracker analysis
[ QUOTE ]
I am sorry, but based on your post and number of hands you've played I really don't think you're a 10ptbb/100 player. [/ QUOTE ] based on my post? why? because i question my own ability/skill? [ QUOTE ] In fact, according to many vets. very few players attain even 8ptbb/100 in todays online environment. [/ QUOTE ] that is surprising, can somebody second that? [ QUOTE ] You should be happy with anything over 0ptbb/100, and a longterm winrate of 4ptbb/100 is quite decent. [/ QUOTE ] interesting |
#6
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Re: poker tracker analysis
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I am sorry, but based on your post and number of hands you've played I really don't think you're a 10ptbb/100 player. [/ QUOTE ] based on my post? why? because i question my own ability/skill? [/ QUOTE ] No, because you have a low post count. It's prejudiced, I know, but whatever. And also because you underestimate the no. of hands needed to get a statistically significant reading on your win-rate. You might have played poker for years and have a very good understanding of this game, but it is most likely that you just started playing in the last couple of years and are overestimating your ability. I realize now that my post was condescending and I'm sorry. Mostly though, I think there are very few players that achieve 10PTBB/100 over a long run, so statistically it is very unlikely that you are one of them. I certainly am not. |
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