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#1
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30 NL - 6max - Deep AKs, value push?
I'm playing I'm playing 24/17/2, villain is a lag 32/20/2. Push this river or check/call check/fold? My thinking was he should be raises all sets on the flop and betting a flush on turn since the pot is so big now. So I don't think he has that good of a hand maybe a J or a medium pair. I dunno if he calls a push with them thou.
Full Tilt Poker, $0.15/$0.30 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter BB: $71.40 UTG: $126.85 CO: $81 BTN: $64.40 Hero (SB): $72.85 Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB) 3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $3</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $12.90</font>, BB calls $9.90 Flop: ($25.80) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $16.80</font>, BB calls $16.80 Turn: ($59.40) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, BB checks River: ($59.40) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero ? |
#2
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Re: 30 NL - 6max - Deep AKs, value push?
I doubt that the K on the river has helped you more times than not.
Flush or a set is what I think you are up against and the turn sealed it for him. Villians check behind you on the turn could be an attempt to give you a card to improve. |
#3
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Re: 30 NL - 6max - Deep AKs, value push?
I really doubt you're up against a set or a flush here; aforementioned villain is most likely shoving a flush draw on flop/ raising sets, like you said. It's possible he has KJ. I might go for a smaller value bet though, seems like 1/2 to 2/3 pot gets called by an underpair or a jack more often than shove? A shove seems like a pretty obvious AK.
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#4
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Re: 30 NL - 6max - Deep AKs, value push?
[ QUOTE ]
I doubt that the K on the river has helped you more times than not. Flush or a set is what I think you are up against and the turn sealed it for him. Villians check behind you on the turn could be an attempt to give you a card to improve. [/ QUOTE ] just check call/fold depending if he bets and wot size it is if your not sure. i dont think villains check is to give you a free card. Most VIllains aren't very smart and dont think like that, they shut down when they get an awkward card and considering u checked first he may think your trying to trap him. but that said your probably beat anyway. wot calls that raise preflop but HIGH PP? |
#5
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Re: 30 NL - 6max - Deep AKs, value push?
Deepstacked bvb where he has position his range is much, much wider than a high pp, especially w/ his stats
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#6
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Re: 30 NL - 6max - Deep AKs, value push?
c/c or c/f
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#7
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Re: 30 NL - 6max - Deep AKs, value push?
well i think we're ahead now and he's aggro, so i think a c/c is best.
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#8
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Re: 30 NL - 6max - Deep AKs, value push?
A check/call is the worst play here, because he called the flop and the only draw hit. His entire range has showdown value, and he's definitely not vbetting a J or anything like that.
C/F is ok, and so is betting. Depends on how often you think he folds his worse hands (I think you are ahead of his range, but not necessarily his calling range). |
#9
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Re: 30 NL - 6max - Deep AKs, value push?
c/c is good if he is capable of calling PF with hands like 98, T9, 54. Is this a bit of a stretch?
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#10
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Re: 30 NL - 6max - Deep AKs, value push?
I think this is c/c.I try 2 explain
When he called pf ill put hem on 55+,A/10+ any broadway and SSC,plus 10/9s When he called flop ill put hem on 10's+, J/10+,SD+Flush draw,plus A/Q+ When you checked turn,you giving he think you afraid of flush To make it shorter,you need 2 give hem opportunity 2 bluff hes J/10+,A/Q+ hands i did little calculations,and when he bluff even only 20% of the time there you have +ev 2 call hes allin |
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