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#1
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I didn't want to give Villain a free card here, so I bet out on the flop; could I have bet differently after his raise to extract more value?
What range would a random Villain have here (5th hand at table, so I have no reads other than him only having $49 on the table)? Correct to discount possibility of set? PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Hero ($100) MP ($220.10) Button ($49) SB ($101.10) BB ($100) Preflop: Hero is UTG with T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $3</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button calls $3</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>. Flop: ($7.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $12</font>, ??? |
#2
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Given stacksize you could prob just shove flop, if he has 55 you have to pay him of with your top two. And i dont see him folding for $36 here unless he's got air. He'll have J-A / J-K most of the time. If he had 55 he prob just wouldve called you and made his move on the turn with his stacksize.
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#3
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Make it 25 or so and shove the turn
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#4
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[ QUOTE ]
Make it 25 or so and shove the turn [/ QUOTE ] once i match his raise, the pot is $31.50 and he only has $34 behind ... against what range do i extract more value raising to $25 than shoving (effectively raising to $46)? |
#5
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Make it 25 or so and shove the turn [/ QUOTE ] once i match his raise, the pot is $31.50 and he only has $34 behind ... against what range do i extract more value raising to $25 than shoving (effectively raising to $46)? [/ QUOTE ] I just think donks are more likely to call a silly small 3bet with AT or any J than they are to call a shove |
#6
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Make it 25 or so and shove the turn [/ QUOTE ] once i match his raise, the pot is $31.50 and he only has $34 behind ... against what range do i extract more value raising to $25 than shoving (effectively raising to $46)? [/ QUOTE ] I just think donks are more likely to call a silly small 3bet with AT or any J than they are to call a shove [/ QUOTE ] I like. |
#7
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very true
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#8
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Make it 25 or so and shove the turn [/ QUOTE ] once i match his raise, the pot is $31.50 and he only has $34 behind ... against what range do i extract more value raising to $25 than shoving (effectively raising to $46)? [/ QUOTE ] I just think donks are more likely to call a silly small 3bet with AT or any J than they are to call a shove [/ QUOTE ] - if I shove, I get the following additional equity: ($34 * probability he calls shove * [probability I win - probability I lose]) - if I make a silly 3-bet (such as re-raise to $25), I more or less get the following additional equity: ($13 * probability he calls $13 * [probability I win - probability I lose]) + ($21 * probability he calls a turn shove * [probability I win - probability I lose]) Seems like he is calling a 3bet shove with sufficiently high probability that i have better equity simply from shoving? Also, if he doesn't improve on the turn, is he really like to call a turn shove with AJ or something like that? |
#9
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its pretty much never correct to discount a hand completely and i dont see why youd wanna do it here.
seems mor elike a beginner read in the same theme as i put him on AK because i have pocket sixes and cant beat AA. a lot play 555 like this. so put him on acomplete range and act occordingly. if he has 555 u go broke though. depending on image i might 3bet flop but calla nd lead turn might b better since 3betting flop might push him off a lot of Jx. a lot of straight draws out there though. |
#10
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oh eyah see stacks now just push
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