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#1
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*** OFFICIAL 10/14/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
This is the official thread for 10/14/07 NFL Early Games.
These are games which start at 1pm EST (noon central, 11am mountain and 10am pacific). The scheduled games are as follows: MIN @ CHI MIA @ CLE WAS @ GB HOU @ JAC STL @ BAL CIN @ KC TEN @ TB PHI @ NYJ |
#2
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/14/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
I already have Philly -2.5 (-110). At what point is it best to middle this. I know Jets +3 (even) is slightly +EV. What about somehow using the Jets ML to arb? Or should I just ride the nice price I got on Philly?
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#3
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/14/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
Thanks for posting this.
Warning: I am more a poker player and not really a sports better so please excuse my ignorance when I ask basic questions regarding this weekend but I will be in Vegas with friends and betting on some games. Can you list the point spreads for these games here and the over/under numbers as well? I am from Minn but am definitely betting on the Bears over the Vikes. I am also thinking of taking Philly over NYJ as well. I am also looking at the over for the Mia@Cle and Cin@KC games. Any tips or advice you guys can give would be appreciated. |
#4
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/14/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
[ QUOTE ]
Can you list the point spreads for these games here and the over/under numbers as well? [/ QUOTE ] Spreads and over/under numbers are different depending on the book |
#5
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/14/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
I really like STL and WAS to cover. I even like WAS money line.
Baltimore is on average outscored 19-17 per game and Frerotte put up 31 pts last week. I really can't imagine the ravens covering, and I'm even a Ravens fan. I think GB will match up a lot like DET did last week vs WAS. all pass, no run, and I love the skins' secondary to shut down favre. I think Minny to cover 5.5 vs Chi is also a solid pick. Barring a Hester DST score, this game will be super close. I might throw down a tiny long shot parlay on Was, Ten, Miami all money line. Miami is weird, but without Green, I think Lemon will step up to earn the job. I think Jamal Lewis is out as well, but need confirmation. I also like Jax and Phi to cover. |
#6
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/14/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
doesn't phi seem like they will cover this a large % of the time here? westbrook is back isn't he?
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#7
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/14/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
[ QUOTE ]
I really like STL and WAS to cover. I even like WAS money line. Baltimore is on average outscored 19-17 per game and Frerotte put up 31 pts last week. I really can't imagine the ravens covering, and I'm even a Ravens fan. I think GB will match up a lot like DET did last week vs WAS. all pass, no run, and I love the skins' secondary to shut down favre. I think Minny to cover 5.5 vs Chi is also a solid pick. Barring a Hester DST score, this game will be super close. I might throw down a tiny long shot parlay on Was, Ten, Miami all money line. Miami is weird, but without Green, I think Lemon will step up to earn the job. I think Jamal Lewis is out as well, but need confirmation. I also like Jax and Phi to cover. [/ QUOTE ] I'm on Washington for 2 units. Like you said, Washingtons secondary is great, and Green Bay is pretty much all pass. I also agree with the Ravens not covering. Their offense will struggle to even put up 10 total, let alone cover by 10. I still think they win this game, but by a field goal. I don't really like any other plays in the early games enough to bet on them. Might throw a unit on Tennessee a +3 but really undecided there. |
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