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#1
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25NL: two marginal spots with AK
My image is pretty [censored]
I've been raising everything in sight because they fold everything, call only with premium/pretty hands, and get stubborn when they miss. ------------------ HAND #1 ------------------ Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter BB: $12.20 UTG: $18.50 MP: $23.90 Hero (CO): $34.95 BTN: $10.45 SB: $18.70 Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO) 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1</font>, BTN folds, SB calls $0.90, BB folds Flop: ($2.25) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2</font>, SB calls $2 Turn: ($6.25) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $4</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $15.70 and is All-In</font>, Hero calls $11.70 Baluga fold? or is this a random A enough? ------------------ HAND #2 ------------------ Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter MP: $14.25 CO: $23.25 BTN: $9.75 Hero (SB): $59.35 BB: $25.60 UTG: $18.45 Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB) UTG folds, MP calls $0.25, CO folds, BTN calls $0.25, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.50</font>, 2 folds, BTN calls $1.25 Flop: ($3.50) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $2.75</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $8.25 and is All-In</font>, Hero calls $5.50 I don't usually call in this spot but .... I talked myself into it this time. horrible? |
#2
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Re: 25NL: two marginal spots with AK
Hand 1: looks like a Baluga fold, you're repping a strong A, and unless he's sophisticated enough to know you can lay down this hand, I'd be looking at a set of 9's or like AJ.
Hand 2: He has at worst like a J. Assuming our outs are clean , we have 6, so we need about 3:1 (we dont have odds). If he has AJ or KJ, this puts us in more trouble, and if he has a set, we're basically drawing dead to runners. |
#3
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Re: 25NL: two marginal spots with AK
That is pretty much what I thought people would say.
Hand 1: My thinking- AQ cancels out AJ. My image puts AT in his range, and AT pays for a lot of set combinations. Some possibility of a frustrated flush draw. Hand 2: He can have way worse hands than a Jack. He does this with all flush and straight draws too, and there are plenty of them in his range. I would say that the best hand he has here is a Jack. |
#4
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Re: 25NL: two marginal spots with AK
alright, no interest. Results, H1 he has AQ, H2 he has 9To
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#5
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Re: 25NL: two marginal spots with AK
you really think the best hand he can have in hand 2 is a J? YOu don't think he does this with a set?
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#6
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Re: 25NL: two marginal spots with AK
[ QUOTE ]
you really think the best hand he can have in hand 2 is a J? You don't think he does this with a set? [/ QUOTE ] Sets are combinatorially irrelevant. There are 9 sets out there total. There are 16 9T hands, 6 AJ hands, 6 KJ hands, 12 QJ hands, 12 JT hands, 12 J9 hands, 16 QT hands, 8 AQ hands, 16 79 hands, and a bunch of flushes. a hand like 77 is almost as likely by itself than all the sets. We should NEVER put people on sets in these situations, they effectively don't exist. A bluff with complete air is more likely. Folding because there are too many valid jack combinations compared to draw combinations with significant equity is reasonable, and possibly even correct. Worrying about sets is just weak-tight. |
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