|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
AQo flops nut flush draw...
BB leading 25/15/2.5 over 90 hands, seems ok
UTG is 37/15/1.2, not too concerned about his call, very much a station who had been running hot Were obv at least calling, but what are the merits of raising here? Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter CO: $55.85 BTN: $48.75 SB: $51.55 BB: $70 UTG: $121 Hero (MP): $55.10 Pre-Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP) UTG calls $0.50, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2.50</font>, 3 folds, BB calls $2, UTG calls $2 Flop: ($7.75) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players) <font color="red">BB bets $2.50</font>, UTG calls $2.50, <font color="red">Hero ? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: AQo flops nut flush draw...
you have bad implied odds and good equity. raisy daisy
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: AQo flops nut flush draw...
[ QUOTE ]
you have bad implied odds and good equity. raisy daisy [/ QUOTE ] Why? We have anywhere from 5-15 outs (we don't really know how many) We're getting really good pot odds. Why raise and give someone a chance to reopen the betting? We have position and a cheap price, it seems more prudent to call? |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: AQo flops nut flush draw...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] you have bad implied odds and good equity. raisy daisy [/ QUOTE ] Why? We have anywhere from 5-15 outs (we don't really know how many) We're getting really good pot odds. Why raise and give someone a chance to reopen the betting? We have position and a cheap price, it seems more prudent to call? [/ QUOTE ] We have at least 9 outs?? |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: AQo flops nut flush draw...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] you have bad implied odds and good equity. raisy daisy [/ QUOTE ] Why? We have anywhere from 5-15 outs (we don't really know how many) We're getting really good pot odds. Why raise and give someone a chance to reopen the betting? We have position and a cheap price, it seems more prudent to call? [/ QUOTE ] We have at least 9 outs?? [/ QUOTE ] The worst case scenario (though unlikely) is two people have crappy flushes already... in which case you only have 5 outs. Best case scenario is they're both on draws or have lowpairs and you have 3 -A, 3 - Q and 9 flush outs. |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: AQo flops nut flush draw...
I think the best case scenario here is much much much more likel than the worse case scenario... two made flushes are unlikely, and I think even one made crappy flush bets out more here as they are scared of another heart
I think FD/set/overpairs play like this because they are scared and by raising I get more money when I'm ahead against essentially everything that's not a set/flush, and might even get some sets to fold am I completely off my rocker here? |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: AQo flops nut flush draw...
bad IMPLIED odds. i.e. we ain't getting paid often when we hit unless he has a heart
|
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: AQo flops nut flush draw...
granted we have direct odds to call this, but i prefer raising now
|
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|