|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
KK 140BB deep
Hey guys!
Villain is a fairly good player 25/17/3 and i know that he is capable of quite a few things to vary his game. I don't really want to play for stacks when he calls my flop bet on this raggy board. so what about the turn first! Party Poker No Limit Hold'em Cash Game $0.25/$0.50 Blinds 6 Players - (http://www.legopoker.com/hh) SB: $53.87 BB: $48.69 UTG: $107.72 MP: $46.17 Hero (CO): $69.89 BTN: $51.94 Preflop: Hero is dealt Kc Kd (6 Players) UTG raises to $2.00, MP folds, Hero raises to $8.00, 3 folds, UTG calls $6.00 Flop: ($16.75) 4s 2h 8c (2 Players) UTG checks, Hero bets $12.00, UTG calls $12.00 Turn: ($40.75) 7s (2 Players) UTG checks, Hero? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: KK 140BB deep
I would check, KK- is gonna fold to a turnbet only a set is going to call.
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: KK 140BB deep
[ QUOTE ]
I would check, KK- is gonna fold to a turnbet only a set is going to call. [/ QUOTE ] Would you fold QQ here if hero bets? |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: KK 140BB deep
I prolly bet 25 on the turn, put the rest in on the river.
|
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: KK 140BB deep
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I would check, KK- is gonna fold to a turnbet only a set is going to call. [/ QUOTE ] Would you fold QQ here if hero bets? [/ QUOTE ] Probably... I only beat JJ. So I am behind on his range if I was villain. |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: KK 140BB deep
[ QUOTE ]
I would check, KK- is gonna fold to a turnbet only a set is going to call. [/ QUOTE ] This isn't correct. |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: KK 140BB deep
Check and call his value bet on the river? A8, or A4 might be a, UTG limp for him. It's in his range anyway... Or he may put you on total air continuation bet and he's just looking to take it down from you. Or he's got a set
Let's say he plays half his VPIP% from UTG... That's about right for a good player regarding PFR% Your equity on the flop vs. the top 12% of hands is equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 83.162% 82.79% 00.38% 109005 495.00 { KcKd } Hand 1: 16.838% 16.46% 00.38% 21675 495.00 { 77+, A8s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+ } On the turn if you narrow him down to any pair as his initial holding or A8, A4 or A2, which IMO eliminates him from being a great player... equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 74.039% 73.52% 00.52% 3138 22.00 { KcKd } Hand 1: 25.961% 25.45% 00.52% 1086 22.00 { 22+, A8s, A4s, A2s, A8o, A4o, A2o } To me the fact that A8s is the bottom of the range on aces and also top pair on the board is very interesting... I think you need to bet here, I also like checking to induce a bluff on the river. |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: KK 140BB deep
[ QUOTE ]
Check and call his value bet on the river? A8, or A4 might be a, UTG limp for him. It's in his range anyway... Or he may put you on total air continuation bet and he's just looking to take it down from you. Or he's got a set Let's say he plays half his VPIP% from UTG... That's about right for a good player regarding PFR% Your equity on the flop vs. the top 12% of hands is equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 84.406% 84.02% 00.38% 4806 22.00 { KcKd } Hand 1: 15.594% 15.21% 00.38% 870 22.00 { 77+, A8s+, KTs+, QTs+, To me the fact that A8s is the bottom of the range on aces and also top pair on the board is very interesting... I think you need to bet here, I also like checking to induce a bluff on the river. [/ QUOTE ] I think these ranges are to wide, villain raised preflop and called a 3-bet. |
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Re: KK 140BB deep
I think the range of villain PF is a PP or AK. On the turn the range of villain is a set or JJ+
|
#10
|
|||
|
|||
Re: KK 140BB deep
[/ QUOTE ] I think these ranges are to wide, villain raised preflop and called a 3-bet. [/ QUOTE ] I agree they are too wide. let's narrow them, I would think aces get 4bet here. Let's put villains preflop range at 66+AK or AQs Here is your equity on the flop... Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 57,420 games 0.005 secs 11,484,000 games/sec Board: 4s 2h 8c Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 75.899% 75.04% 00.86% 43086 495.00 { KcKd } Hand 1: 24.101% 23.24% 00.86% 13344 495.00 { 66+, AQs+, AKo } I think on the turn it is unwise to give him credit for a set just because he called. It is just as likely he called with any overpair to the board or a set of 88's if he called preflop with 4's or 2's... He should have the fleas of a thousand camels infest his genitals. So narrowing it down and eliminating AK or AQ which some people just won't let go of is bad IMO but here's the pokerstove. equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 70.053% 68.58% 01.47% 1026 22.00 { KcKd } Hand 1: 29.947% 28.48% 01.47% 426 22.00 { 88+ } |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|