Fold this river?

cferejohn · #1 04-22-2006, 06:41 PM

Party 1/2 Full ring. There's an MP poster who was coming back to his seat, so his blind plus $1 of dead money in the pot already.

I get TT UTG+1. I raise to 8. Player to my immediate left calls. All others fold. Caller has $200 (new to table, never played with him before), and I cover him (~$325 fwiw).

Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
Pot: $22

I bet $20. He calls.

Turn: 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Pot: $62

I bet $40. He calls.

River: 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Pot: $142

I check. He pushes his last $132. I think for a while, and just as I've made up my mind to call, my clock runs out and I fold. Did the clock just save me $132 or cost me $270?

#2 04-22-2006, 06:43 PM

the world may never know

id've called

Slappz · #3 04-22-2006, 06:46 PM

How bout getting a read on the guy. This call could go either way against an unknown.

cferejohn · #4 04-22-2006, 06:47 PM

For the record: I'm not considering folding because I think the 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] made his hand. I'm folding because I think I was beat the whole time.

cferejohn · #5 04-22-2006, 06:52 PM

[ QUOTE ]
How bout getting a read on the guy. This call could go either way against an unknown.

[/ QUOTE ]

He was very new to the table. This might have been literally like the 4th or 5th hand since he sat down. Looking at the stats I have for him now (as we continued to sit at the same table for a while), I've got him at 10/6.75/3. It's only over 74 hands, but it leads me to believe I made the right move. But I didn't know any of that at the time...

Lucky · #6 04-22-2006, 07:00 PM

good fold/time out.

Against tighit as he turned out to be, he's calling your raise with QQ/JJ because he doesnt re-raise those. He's sometimes calling with KK/AA because he's "tricky." He can also have the 99, 88 or 33, maybe Ad3d.

Bottom line, I dont see what a party 1/2 weakie is in there with to river, that hell bluff his stack with, that you're ahead of. If he's a maniac fish in this game, sure c/c and get shown AQo or whatever. But barring a read, fold.