60: turn nuts vs 2 winning regs.

[runhot]

both villains are winning regs who know i'm winning reg.

sb c/c, on flop i think is mostly a weak Q.
button limp / bet flop is mostly AQ, KQ, QJ, maybe QT? or maybe 66, who knows..

so i turn the nuts and btn calls. i figure he must have a monster two pair+, at minimum i think he has AQ.

so knowing my second nut hand is certainly best on the river, and knowing this winning reg doesnt call a big turn bet w/o TpTk (now top two) or better, should i just shove figuring he'll call?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (9 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero (t1480)
CO (t2420)
Button (t1470)
SB (t977)
BB (t1500)
UTG (t1500)
UTG+1 (t1173)
MP1 (t1480)
MP2 (t1500)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, Hero calls t20, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls t20, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (t80) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets t60</font>, SB calls t60, BB folds, Hero calls t60.

Turn: (t260) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t200</font>, Button calls t200, SB folds.

River: (t660) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero ?</font>

[vers]

I would probably just bet it for like 400ish, I don't think a shove gets paid off enough to make it the better play.

[Little John]

i would bet 300. if the river card was lower than a queen and a brick then i probably go 400.

[runhot]

[ QUOTE ]
i would bet 300. if the river card was lower than a queen and a brick then i probably go 400.

[/ QUOTE ]

the only hand i can come up w/ for a winning reg here that will call 300 but not a shove is QT.

arent i better off shoving and hoping for a two pair or better?

[Chipchucker5]

I can't see villain having anything but AQ here. But I still think a shove is a little too greedy. Since he knows you're good, he should be able to figure out he doesn't beat much and may even be able to get away from AQ. I like 500 on river.