#1
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NL50: good river bluff?
I only had around 35 hands on Villain, but seemed TAGish with maybe only moderate AG; nothing too out of the ordinary. I expected a fold on the turn. I think this river bluff is +EV given how I got there, but I wanted to check with you folks. How often am I walking into a trappy flush or boat? Is Villain likely to believe I have a flush given that I didn't take a free card on the turn? (Villain probably doesn't have much of a read on me.)
Full Tilt Poker No Limit Holdem Ring game Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 6 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: $29.65 Hero: $38.45 CO: $33.40 Button: $49.75 SB: $51.90 BB: $37.25 Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG+1 with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $1</font>, Hero calls, CO calls, Button folds, SB calls, BB calls. Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($5, 5 players) SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $1.5</font>, Hero calls, 3 folds. Turn: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($8, 2 players) UTG checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $5</font>, UTG calls. River: 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($18, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $4</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises all-in $30.95</font>, |
#2
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Re: NL50: good river bluff?
Don't shove. I think raise to $15 accomplishes the same. I think raising flop is better, you have position and a great draw with probably both overcards as outs. Good spot to double barrell. As played I take free card on turn. Definitely looks like a weak blocking bet but meh... don't need to go crazy here.
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#3
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Re: NL50: good river bluff?
I wouldn't try to push anyone off an overpair or AJ and I can't imagine what else he has here. Had he made a strong bet on the flop I'm more likely to try something like this. Villain seems like a real donk judging by his bet sizing and I don't like making huge bluffs against them.
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