NL100: JJ, fold to big river bet?

[erazorXP]

Villain is 20/7/1.6 over 2k hands
I was at 13/9/5.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($102.95)
MP1 ($18.50)
MP2 ($67.10)
CO ($121.75)
Button ($45.40)
SB ($31.80)
BB ($116.50)
UTG ($210.40)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4</font>, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, BB calls $3.

Flop: ($8.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $5.5</font>, BB calls $5.50.

Turn: ($19.50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $11.1</font>, BB calls $11.10.

River: ($41.70) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $33</font>, Hero ???



I think he had a set, and was hoping for me to have AQ (which has matched my bets so far), so that i´m willing to call the big river bet. I don´t think he called me down w/ A high here. Turnplay was b/f.

[The Eureka Kid]

I'd fold, all you beat is a bluff and a random one at that. I don't think a player with those stats taking that line is bluffing enough to make a call +EV.

[ship_it_trebek]

You don't beat much anymore. Your double barrel didn't scare him away and now he's leading for a decent amount on the river. There's no missed draws either.

[Johnes Benjamin]

easy fold