$16 - overpair on scareboard

mattiesmat · #1 11-08-2007, 12:09 PM

Villain was 9/3 after 31 hands.
Can we fold here?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (8 handed) by Hand Converter CG

UTG+1 (t1750)
MP1 (t1400)
Hero (t1415)
CO (t1475)
Button (t1380)
SB (t1495)
BB (t1445)
UTG (t3140)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
3 folds, Hero raises to t150, 3 folds, BB calls t100.

Flop: (t325) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t240, BB raises to t1295, Hero ??

Rek · #2 11-08-2007, 12:29 PM

Get it in against his AT

sean457j · #3 11-08-2007, 12:43 PM

Seen as you got check raised allin by someone this tight I would probably muck. I think the villain would lead out with AT, if you call you are generally going to be behind - whether to a set/overpair/AhKh.

RexWoo · #4 11-08-2007, 12:46 PM

9/3 is pretty tight, even over 31 hands and he often has a set afetr calling your PFR imo but you can't fold here.

I call.

TruFloridaGator · #5 11-08-2007, 01:37 PM

Gutshot + overpair + possible backdoor fd.
Can't fold, take a note.

eurythmech · #6 11-08-2007, 03:22 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Gutshot + overpair + possible backdoor fd.
Can't fold, take a note.

[/ QUOTE ]

Shrooma · #7 11-08-2007, 03:29 PM

I don't expect someone this tight calling with 9J, so probably you're against A10, an overpair (that he probably would have raised), a set or a flush draw.
I think the times he raises A10 or semi-bluffs a flush draw make up for the times he has a set here, so i'd get it in. You have several outs to a made straight or a hand like 5h6h

Scotty_12 · #8 11-08-2007, 06:18 PM

Agree with rex/gator and its worth noting that while it doesnt make a HUGE difference, we do have outs that help us if we are up against straight or flush draws (or a combo draw like A9h) ..but is a guy that tight calling us pf? Hard to say ... its also hard to say that he wasnt just dealt a whole bunch of trash in his first 30 hands, the sample size isnt big enough (nor is the buyin) to lay down JJ here