How far would go you with this bluff?

[KingOfSwords]

Opponent is 48%/2.4/1.9/111. I don't think this flop hit him. How far do you go?

Absolute Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $42.85
UTG+1: $73.60
CO: $105.80
King: $164.50
SB: $290
BB: $40

Pre-flop: (6 players) King is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
UTG calls, 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">King raises to $5</font>, SB calls, BB calls, UTG folds.

Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($16, 3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">King bets $14</font>, SB folds, BB calls.

Turn: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($44, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">King bets $30</font>...

[spivey]

Not past the flop.

[therealpk]

shove river

[ajmargarine]

So you think he's calling you with what on the flop? QT?

[spivey]

[ QUOTE ]
So you think he's calling you with what on the flop? QT?

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you speaking to me? I don't think he's folding a PP here.

[KingOfSwords]

AJ, I think the flop missed him and that he'd call with any ten, 89, or two diamonds.

[thac]

Why is he calling flop with a ten, 89, or diamonds? That doesn't make any sense at all.

[KingOfSwords]

Fair enough. So are we convinced that he has something because he called the flop bet?

[thac]

The thing is, he's a 48/2, he can have a bunch of hands here. Value bet a king or jack on the river if he calls, check behind if you miss.

[KingOfSwords]

Sounds reasonable.