Tens facing tough turn spot

[cooker3]

I have been an incredibly nitty 13/10/2 over 50 or so hands
Villain is 42/15/4 over 3000 hands as is clearly not great but can float and pounce on weakness

iPoker No-Limit Texas Hold'em (NL100), $1.00 BB (5 handed) SilverKitty Hand History converter by www.pokeronline.com.ua

UTG ($114.95)
cooker3 on the CO($115.5)
Villain on the Button($127.28)
SB ($166.5)
BB ($100)

SB: Post SB $0.50
BB: Post BB $1.00

Preflop:
cooker3 is CO with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#CC2222">UTG Raise $4</font>
cooker3 Call $4
Villain Call $4
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>

Flop:($13.5) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]<font color="#0030DD">(3 players)</font>
UTG Check
<font color="#CC2222">cooker3 Bet $9</font>
<font color="#CC2222">Villain Raise $18</font>
<font color="#666666">1 folds</font>
cooker3 Call $9

Turn:($49.5) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]<font color="#0030DD">(2 players)</font>
cooker3 Check
<font color="#CC2222">Villain Bet $33</font>
</font>

[thac]

You can shove the flop and have pretty good equity almost always.

[PartysOver]

i'd probably reraise flop

[martijn]

blehhhh, I really feel like he has a set, meh.
I guess fold turn.

[thac]

Is this range too out of line?

Board: 9d 8h 7c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 58.056% 55.49% 02.57% 28015 1297.50 { TcTs }
Hand 1: 41.944% 39.37% 02.57% 19880 1297.50 { 99-66, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, T9o, 98o, 87o, 76o }

[martijn]

wow that pokerstove really surprises me, looks like a good range.

[thac]

Maybe 76o and 76s is a bit adventurous, but still we're not in horrible shape.. here's a bit better range since I forgot JT too.

Board: 9d 8h 7c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 45.900% 42.18% 03.72% 19627 1730.50 { TcTs }
Hand 1: 54.100% 50.38% 03.72% 23442 1730.50 { 99-66, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, JTo, T9o, 98o, 87o }

[bilbo-san]

[ QUOTE ]
blehhhh, I really feel like he has a set, meh.
I guess fold turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

Lol.

Narrowing the range of a guy this loose to 3 hands? WTF?

He can have T9 or 76 or JJ+ or a bluff here a lot.

[cooker3]

Interesting, I am surprised my equity is that good. I considered 3 betting but my internal stove calculator didn't produce the results above and I felt I was behind a lot more then those results suggest.
As played Thac, how do you proceed on the turn?

[thac]

I'd definitely call.. there's no value in raising against him because he's not calling a raise with A9 probably.. so I would call and check to him on most rivers. He'll mostly check behind but if he shoves I think we can fold unless you have any abnormal river aggression stats.