AQ top 2 on turn...insta shove?

[gimmetheloot]

Ive been playing Laggy, but not crazy postflop. Villain hasnt been here long but hasnt done anything stupid yet.

Is this an easy shove or a bitch of a fold?

Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (UTG): $167
MP: $42.55
CO: $117.35
BTN: $145.45
SB: $123
BB: $262.85

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $3.50</font>, 3 folds, SB calls $3, BB calls $2.50

Flop: ($10.50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $9</font>, SB folds, BB calls $9

Turn: ($28.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $24</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $68</font>, Hero?

[gimmetheloot]

bump..any1?

[Jamougha]

Oh look, top 2, go all in.

[dirtylobster]

Hmm AT/A6/Axcc (maybe Kxcc)... I'd have a hard time keeping myself from shoving.

[ronitonline]

shove, you're paying off KJ, nobody is slowplaying 66/1010 on that flop.
this is a fairly easy situation.

[Speedlimits]

pretty easy shove.

[Lucky]

I think this is closer than others.

I can fold here this deep. Against unknown at .5/1 this is pretty strong play. Maybe AT or AcXc but more often KJ or even 66/TT played oddly.

[scatt_man]

Ok you have to call another 44 to call so 68 + 68 + 28 = 164 if you call ....

if you shove the rest in and get called you be 85 to 249 or 1 to 2.9 which is about 26% pot odds

now you got top 2 and you still have 6 outs to the full which is 12% ... so you are 14% short of 26% ... however, the times he has a weaker 2 pair or a draw of somesorts makes a shove profitable ..

so shove turn

[Mackerel]

I agree with runitonline that it's unlikely that he slowplayed a set on that flop. You will see Acxc, AT, and even hands like KhTh often enough to make this a +EV shove. If he has KJ, just spike a Q on the river. I shove here.

[ronitonline]

[ QUOTE ]
I think this is closer than others.

I can fold here this deep. Against unknown at .5/1 this is pretty strong play. Maybe AT or AcXc but more often KJ or even 66/TT played oddly.

[/ QUOTE ]

false, you see those sometimes, but not as much as you see other junk.