I bluff when I feel weakness

[Scaramouche]

Villain is 18/14/3. WTSD 20% No reads.
My initial thought was to set mine, but his flop bet was so small...and I changed my mind. When he called my turn bet I decided to fire again, because his line was so weak... Thoughts?

Seat 1: SB ($35.80)
Seat 3: BB ($203.70)
Seat 5: UTG ($334.05)
Seat 6: UTG+1 ($224.00)
Seat 8: <font color="#C80000">Hero</font> ($200.00)
Seat 10: BTN ($76.00)

SB posts small blind, $1.00; BB posts big blind, $2.00;

Dealing to <font color="#C80000">Hero</font>:
2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img],2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

UTG folds; UTG+1 raises to $8; <font color="#C80000">Hero</font> calls; BTN folds; SB folds; BB folds;

Dealing flop: (Pot is $19.00)
K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img],5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img],8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img];
UTG+1 bets $12; <font color="#C80000">Hero</font> calls;

Dealing turn: (Pot is $43.00)
7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img];
UTG+1 checks; <font color="#C80000">Hero</font> bets $31; UTG+1 calls;

Dealing river: (Pot is $105.00)
3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img];
UTG+1 checks; <font color="#C80000">Hero</font> bets $68

[FGators]

If this guy is calling the turn he's not folding the river when a 3 comes off. It's usually QQ/JJ that just won't believe you.

[thac]

[ QUOTE ]
If this guy is calling the turn he's not folding the river when a 3 comes off. It's usually QQ/JJ that just won't believe you.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah I agree, if he's calling turn he's probably not folding a blank river.

[Spinners]

I agree, exactly, if he called your bet on the turn and the river blanks, what makes you think he's going to fold. Its not like the board is terribly drawy.

[Acevader]

His flop bet is also around 2/3rds. I'd not view that as particularly weak. The board isn't draw heavy so he could very well make that with TPGK+

[Scaramouche]

[ QUOTE ]
If this guy is calling the turn he's not folding the river when a 3 comes off. It's usually QQ/JJ that just won't believe you.

[/ QUOTE ]
Turn is a diamond. He may have FD with an over. And do you think a 18/14 will call 2 streets with an underpair?

[Michaelson]

Yeah, the flop bet is smallish, but not that small. If I want to test him out I'm raising the flop.

[FGators]

I really don't know how you can just peg him for a diamond draw vs his whole range which is KJ/KQ/QQ/JJ/tens,etc. that just won't fold.

[I rebluff you]

If you're going to double or triple-barrel 22 when you miss a set then you'll bust your bankroll very very quickly.

[FGators]

If you think he had a flush draw like AQ/AJ/A10 diamonds or a hand like A6 for an over and a straight draw you have showdown value.