3 Bet Bluff?

Jaysick88 · #1 09-25-2007, 08:52 PM

I have a LAG image and have shown down 3 hands. 2 sets and a 2nd pair that was good against the villain from this hand.
I think he has JJ+ but is also capable of folding. Good spot for the 3 bet bluff?
Full Tilt Poker Game #3671596963: $55,000 Guarantee (27628082), Table 12 - 20/40 - No Limit Hold'em - 20:32:53 ET - 2007/09/25
Seat 1: xxxx (3,140)
Seat 2: Jaysick88 (6,650)
Seat 3: Villain (3,350)
Seat 4: xxxxx (3,660)
Seat 5: xxxxxx (2,570)
Seat 6: xxxxxxxx (2,474)
Seat 7: xxxxxxxx (2,335)
Seat 8: xxxxxxx (2,765)
Seat 9: xxxxxxxx (3,000)
xxxxxxxxx posts the small blind of 20
Bxxxxxxxxxx posts the big blind of 40
The button is in seat #7
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Jaysick88 [9h 7h]
xxxxxxx calls 40
Jaysick88 calls 40
Villain raises to 220

xxxxxxx calls 180
Jaysick88 calls 180
*** FLOP *** [3h Ts Td]
xxxxxx checks
Jaysick88 has 15 seconds left to act
Jaysick88 bets 480
Villain raises to 960
xxxxxxxx folds
Jaysick88?

Bond18 · #2 09-25-2007, 09:33 PM

Seeing as he's barely over min raising you here, i hate the idea of 3 bet bluffing considering you have a LAG image.

Jaysick88 · #3 09-25-2007, 10:59 PM

It was a min raise actually but my thought that was based on his stack size he did not want to raise more than that so if I came over the top he could fold. I do not think he is showing up with a ten there. I guess the more important question is whether or not he is going to fold enough when he has a JJ-AA type of hand. The bluff at this point in tourney is probably dumb in general though.

Mench · #4 09-25-2007, 11:29 PM

Hes never folding AA-JJ here. unless he specifically knows you, and knows you are leading Tx, and 33 here all the time, he will probably assume you are a donk (no offense obv) who has like 88 and will not fold.

also bluffing this early is not really worthwhile.

Jaysick88 · #5 09-26-2007, 12:33 AM

I agree with the assume I am a donk. People do not really know who I am and I like that when I am at tables with them. I have some solid results and finally caught my big break this weekend. Normally not being known allows me to do more against thinking players who do not think I think... (I am not actually sure what I just said.)

But I do prob agree that a fold is best based on your two opinions.

Mench · #6 09-26-2007, 12:36 AM

what was your big break?